USD: Consolidation ahead? The week has started with markets adding some fresh risk premium related to new sanctions against Russia. While new measures are under discussion among EU members, the US Treasury has already acted by halting dollar payments from Russian government accounts at US banks. This move is aimed at forcing Moscow to either .
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USD: Not much support from FOMC announcement Russia and Ukraine resume peace negotiations today, and despite the lack of any advancement in the latest talks, asset prices continue to price in a higher implied probability of an imminent de-escalation of military tensions. This is naturally translating into a weaker dollar, with the previously battered European .
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Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth. If you haven’t seen a video this one from a drone ) of the destruction in the South and Midwest, especially Kentucky, take a look. The loss of human and animal life is terrible, and it will take years to clean up and rebuild the communities. (Many in our industry have had some good years; The Better Business Bureau has a list of charities in those areas that can help.) The tornadoes that struck a few days ago were predicted, but due to a few reasons the fatalities were high. Shifting our attention, who predicted these inflation numbers that we’ve seen in recent months? Certainly not the Fed. These sky-high numbers remind us that, as Dr. Michael Fratantoni puts it, “All forecasts are wrong but some are useful.”