within the coming years. they also say that a key temperature threshold, a rise in global temperature by 1.5 degrees celsius above pre industrial levels, is likely to be breached for the first time. our climate editorjustin rowlatt has more details. rising temperatures thanks to global warming are one reason but we are also seeing a change in a crucial weather system in the pacific ocean called el nino. for the last few years, winds blowing along the equator have been stronger than normal, pushing warmer water towards the coast of asia and helping deep, cold water well up on the coast of the americas. this phase is known as la nina, and is associated with below average global temperatures. we are now moving into the el nino phase, where winds are weaker which means warm water spreads across the pacific. now, that tends to increase global temperatures by about 0.2 celsius on average. that does not sound much, but it makes it almost certain, a 98% chance according to the un s w
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