Mass protests by the poor in the regions are increasingly likely.
The authorities strategic miscalculations in the economy lead to inevitable political consequences. For business, proximity to the state is becoming toxic. New protests by Lukashenka s impoverished former electorate in the regions are increasingly likely. There are still enough resources for security officials, but fermentation is taking place among them.
The political confrontation in Belarus is actively supported by the economic struggle. Belarusians withdraw their deposits from banks; many try not to buy goods from toxic manufacturers who support Lukashenka s power. Exile political leaders are calling for economic sanctions now and a new Marshall plan later. Lukashenka directly demands to reduce the costs of social projects.