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what evidence do americans see that this trade war is easy to win? none. the recession, the odds of recession are high and rising because of the trade war. it s doing very significant economic damage. if the tariffs that the president has threatened are actually implemented, that will raise taxes on american businesses and consumers by over $100 billion in the coming year. just to put that into context, that s $1,000 for every american household over that annual period. it s undermining business confidence, businesses are sitting on their hands, business investment has flat lined. hiring is weakened. and here most ironically, dark irony, manufacturing is now in recession because of the trade war that was supposed to help manufacturing and look, i agree that china plays unfair and we had to do something about it. the answer to that wasn t a trade or tariff war, the answer was the chance pacific partnership a free trade deal