The Trump, Haley, and Biden coalitions in the New Hampshire primary.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE With a lull in the primary calendar, we thought we’d take a closer look at last week’s New Hampshire primary. Nikki Haley’s town-level victories were confined almost exclusively to places that Joe Biden carried in the 2020 general election. Although Biden showed some weakness in a few of the state’s larger cities, he carried nearly every town in the state. The GOP primary saw the most raw votes cast of any New Hampshire primary contest, but that was driven in part by participation from voters who likely won’t be voting Republican for president in the fall.
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Exit polls, broader surveys of the electorate, and interviews with New Hampshire voters show that this purple state and its four electoral votes could be challenging for Donald Trump to carry.