Came on our air and said they were bullish, in part because everyone is so bearish each one took turns explaining how those bears would turn into bulls, propelling stocks higher. Buy, buy, buy. Just one little problem when one strategist says everyones bearish, thats a listen up moment when two strategists say everyones bearish, you might get a little suspicious. When three bigshot strategists say everyone is bearish, you got to figure the consensus is wrong. We dont have too many bears we have too many bulls and maybe thats why the averages rolled over today with the dow tumbling 317 points, s p sinking 1 , and, by the way, things were a lot uglier for the dow in the early afternoon you see when most investors are bullish it means there is no one left to buy. They have plenty of facts on their sides. Everything from low Interest Rates, massive earnings, liquidity, i would let any of them manage my money if i were allowed to have money managed. Unfortunately, these positives have a whi
We stock with the rally on the eve of the vote tomorrow every seconder finishing in the green. The rally after the market hand in the worst week since march. So what does todays Market Action tell us about tomorrows big vote guy, what do you say hi, mel you like my election haircut. I see. Really took it down. Really tight, nice. High and tight. Interesting. Whats it tell you today, i think a lot of people squaring up ahead of the election the vix suggests theres still a lot of concern the six vix at one point traded up to 37. 5 obviously elevated last week saw huge move from 24 to 40. It absolutely mirrors of the move of june 8 to june 11 when it went from 20 to 40 and sms went from 32. To 50 in a Straight Line so the moves are identical, i think if theres a concession speech tomorrow morning this mix of 38 probably has 28 handle theres no concession speech i think the 38 vix remains thats the way im looking at the world right now. Lets be clear, concession speech by either candidate
We are just 43 days away from the most wonderful time of year. We found out today that the rally will continue into next year setting a year end target of 4300. The question tonight, is santa claus really coming to town or will the grinch steal christmas, guy . With you folks with kids in the room, i will give you a fut secon few seconds to have them lead. I am in the grinch box that was a great tune that bobby helms sang all of the great things, the market is still expensive. In terms of market cap gdp north of 175 which is by any metric the far end of the curve i dont see it getting there i have been wrong before and probably will began. But the vix cant correct all of the things going into january of next year. I am in the grinch camp but bore l Boris Karloff did a good job. Technology finished the day strong we saw a comeback of the trade that looked like it was unwinding. Yeah, may the winter war lock, the heat miser, snow miser, hear it, santa is coming. Its opposite day today re
All 11 s p sectors were negative today. Four big factors weighing on the market, a new record for coronavirus cases, no stimulus we are kicking off the busiest week of earnings, and the election just eight days away. Should investors pare their risk right now . Still, well start with you. If you look at the trend since mid july, we had an up ten, down ten, up ten, now weve pulled back about 5 this is a range around urn certainly. The companies that will report later this week with the big ice on thursday, you name it, thats coming out in terms of where the megacap market tech has been eu putting in additional q curves these are headlinegrabbing dynamics that the market will feel the weight of weve been digesting the stimulus talks for weeks, if not a couple months. I think the market is rangebound. I think traders dont feel like they have to put capital to work before the elections, but i think largely the same backdrop is there were going to talk about the tenyear bond and bond yields
Action, announcing a fourweek shutdown of all restaurants and bars and france requiring people to remain in their homes except going out for essentials and here in the u. S. , a new round of coronavirus a hit to the economy because of recessions abroad. Guy, what do you say its fascinating. The market hasnt cared about a lot of stuff you mentioned except for this week i have been wondering why the market hadnt been selling off one of the things i was saying was it was stuck above 25, but the market didnt care so my views were dead wrong. Now the market cares i will paint a rosy picture tomorrow tomorrow they closed either side of 40. Go back and look i think june 11th it popped out at 40. You could potentially see a washout tomorrow morning down to 32. 09 which was a september low. Maybe close off those lows some huge earnings from these companies, maybe it will be the mother of return gains friday. I think 32. 09 is the likely place of support on the s p. Today was shocking, tim, but