populist part of the country she does have crowd size but let s be honest about the crowd size, jedediah, when she had the 15,000 or 20,000 in minnesota and in seattle, do you know who estimated that? her campaign. it s one thing when the campaign estimates that it s another thing when you pack an arena with 20,000 and the fire marshall can tabulate an official estimate like donald trump. so, i m not putting her down, i m just saying those crowd sizes are way, way inflated. i m an expert on crowd sizes. i study overflow, juan. just in terms of policy. you are running in the rust 3we89 and you are saying you are for the green new deal. that s a nonstarter. running on taking away people s health insurance and raising middle class taxes that s a nonstarter. i think she is a little i wouldn t say awkward but she can t dance. she makes people uncomfortable, i think, in a general sense when you watch her talk on television. and the fact that she lied
different polls, it says different things about who could be electable. part of the reasons these crowd sizes are important is right now she wants to show she is electable. because there is a lot of fear out there of democrats that if warren is at the top of the ticket that she might not be able to take on trump in the same way and attract some of the voters that maybe were obama-trump voters that might be more inclined to vote with someone who is a little more known to them as joe biden, again this is one of the reasons why she is making this argument right now. no question. here s another argument we are hearing more often and it s from a surprising source this time, mayor pete buttigieg until that point positioned himself along with biden as the moderates in this race. have a listen to him. i want to get your reaction. every time that we have tried so hard to play it safe, that we put forward the person with maybe the most familiar face, but also the most time in
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interesting. the fact that people are comfortable with her, they see enthusiasm levels rising, that s a good thing she s g better with african-american voters. you and i know how important that coalition was to past democratic nominees like barack obama. it s also important in states like south carolina which you know very well there haven t really been many signs of life for her with that voting bloc, but she s going to need to keep making gains there. that really is joe biden s way of keeping his hold on this race right now. we re going to have to see if this is a trend that continues, we might see joe biden slip in the polls. anecdotally, we ve seen her rallies are larger considerably than they were a fewmonths ago is that what you re seeing on the trail? yeah. i don t cover joe biden as much. he has these more intimate rally size events. you see bernie sanders and elizabeth warren getting bigger crowd sizes than joe biden whether or not that matters, it s not bearing out in the
have what we are apparently but the big question to me about seeing in scotland where you the shape of this race right now have air force crews staying at is how much does enthusiasm matter the hotel. at one level, a enthusiastic not likely the lowest cost hotel voter gets to cast as many votes in the area, and staying there as an unenthusiastic voter for multiple days. but if you ve been on the trail, that s why i ve requested the i.g. from the department of you also get a kind of spidey defense to do a detailed study sense when you re at an event with a ton of people that of what exactly is happening so we can get a better handle on something s happening. joining me now to talk about this we need to get the facts. relative importance of enthusiasm, nate silver, chief have you gotten a response from the dod i.g. on that? of 538 nate, i wonder how you think i haven t talked to him about this when you re looking directly i did talk to the air force at state polling, national polling