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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Republican senator inpatient as well. I cant see how we can go home failed. People we they will all have to go home at the end of the week and tell people they failed. Lisa and there is pressure from President Trump that if you dont do it, he will go at it unilaterally. You have to think that he is adding to pressure to passing this through for republicans. Also today, what am looking at, to the clock a. M. , u. S. Durable goods and factory orders. Gauge was the strongest since september 2018. Aftermarket today, disney reports earnings, expected to have a lost. But everyone looking at disney plus, what kind of traction they are getting their earnings. Did you get disney plus just to watch hamilton . Jonathan of course i did not. [laughter] lisa i am shocked. Jonathan full anyone else try to buy tiktok . Tom im glad you asked. Lets put it this way. Disney has 14 billion in cash. Billion inas 140 cash. You do the math. Jonathan i think microsoft has the money to get it done. Did you see

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg 20240704

Slap the strongest fix ever, 1000 bits hired to stabilize the currency. Yet the currency is not looking at a gains even as we speak. It is also about the bond market rout happening globally, and we have seen in year yield surging 50 basis points in august alone, and when you surge the stocks go down. Msci asia index erasing some of the gains, up to its sixth straight day of losses. Benchmark and new zealand down. The benchmark and singapore also lower, and we have csi 300 index barely in positive territory. We have talks about how some companies are buying back their shares, not lifting sentiment as well. In the fx space, some green, aussie dollar up about what of 1 . You want yuan pretty flat. You have got to question, it is a weaker dollar story today, so how effective has of the yuan fix been . Take a look at where we are in terms of gold. Gold is up, oil surging beyond 80 per barrel. It begs the question what will that do for inflation and the fight against inflation . And terms of

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg 20240704

Rally, hence why we are looking at 5800 level on the china index and puts us back at the start of the year. And tilt coming through. 10year yield at 30. And three cuts. Only three cuts and swaps market and still looking at that. 60,000 level, trading at 57,000 level. That is one watch when it comes to bit coin and ai and no we have the bodes well with the fed and what is markets are listening. And are 7 to 6 to 3. And have we seen a view when it comes to yields. Does it yield . The dots we are showing, a lot of fed speakers coming through on thursday and friday. Speaking of central bankers, starting right now and we will be speaking tomorrow, not wasnt they did anything and probably at the peak and may start cutting rates first half of next year. They may not do anything the first half of and the peak rate was at five points. So, that was a bit of a downward and even though they are hawkish. And had comments they may look at this independently. But there is that side of the market not

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg 20240703

Also. We are tracking the potential job warning, in response to what we are seeing in the yen, jgb yields as well, continuing to move higher and closer to the 1 mark. Suzuki saying they are committed to achieving the Fiscal Consolidation goal. What else we are watching, it comes down to expectations around where the boj goes next. We have been hearing from you next to the my chief economist at the bank, saying that doj could raise rates as soon as june, maybe even space for rate hikes four 2024. Today in the session, we are watching the japanese yen and also keeping an eye on equities, a little under pressure so far. Still monitoring from earnings. Key to track will be whether that doj cuts its bond buying neck he saw on monday. Given the backdrop of the weaker yen, the yield gap between japan and the u. S. Japan, lets switch nmc switch and see how south korea is trading. The outlook is a bit weaker, not quite the magnitude of the dump that can japan so far, but still the kospi is 0. 2

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg 20240703

We have 10 year yields in the u. S. At 4. 63 . We are looking at what is being interpreted as no more Interest Rates hikes this year coming from jefferson and mary daly and of the dallas fed president larry logan. Lets look in thailand. We have the market up. 6 . The currency has strengthened overnight. And the dollar index moving to the downside. And the indian session suggesting a move to the upside. It is also Consumer Confidence which is up to three year highs which has also generated some positivity. Oil markets are steady and holding on the gains we have seen in the last 48 or 72 hours. The biggest jump we have witnessed in six months. Wti at 86 a barrel. Brent slightly lower. Lets get to the reason why we saw this surge. It is the israelhamas war. Yousef gamal eldin joins us now. What is the latest . What are the moving parts now . We are in day four and the violence and red showing no signs of abating violence and rhetoric showing no signs of abating. Hamas saying theyre willin

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