Welcome to daybreak australia. We are counting down to asias trade opens. Record highs for stops cuban by big tech. Boj refrains from signaling hikes. Haidi investors are focused on an updated dot plot and rate cut. Paul philippines president tells us he wants to avoid worsening ties. Staggered open. Market flat now. Ozzie yields went lower after we heard from the reserve bank of australia. The bank saying it is really nothing in or out. They seem to have found support. Weve been trading in new zealand as well. The market looking like this. Public holiday although we will have futures trading in equities and bonds. Not a great deal of movement in futures. Yen is weakening. 150. 84 at the moment. Haidi look at u. S. Futures, flat trading. That session was interesting. We had gains ahead of the fed. We expect the fed to push back as the economy and surprises. Fresh record high, broadbased rally. Energy is the best performer as we see a rise in oil prices. Wti above 83 dollars, propelling
Guy every single sector bar. None down in europe. A lot of this out of the u. S. Clearly we see the big market to the fed that is being priced into europe. The ftse is down. You certainly have the pause in effect coming through into the u. K. Market. Taylor wimpey is one example of that. We are seeing affects positive effects coming through of a right pause into european, and more specifically u. K. , equities. The question is, what happens if pi goes up next time . Does the bank of england hike . Who knows. Alix in the u. S. , we are data dependent. We get existing jobless claims coming in under 200,000. We are seeing equities pick up to the downside on existing home sale numbers. The s p 500 is down 1 . Major sectors in the red. Amazon down 3 . Seven Straight Days of losses, its longest losing streak since february. What is different in the bond market in the u. S. Is the front end is rallying. You are seeing buying in the twoyear. Yields are lower and the backhand moves with you guy
Claire overnight financing that are levered to treasuries. The nonbank space is large. Alix when it shakes out does the regulator shift to them . Ubs thinks the default rates will peak in the private market. That tells you there is a significant amount of stress there. That 10 might not break the bank. But if you get through that 10 default rate, how much money do you really lose . Estimate question. Guy so his conviction call about the restructuring of the market. How big is the opportunity, how selectively you have to be . He sees that as his conviction call. How claire is it working . Claire i hear a lot of fear in that space. Theres not a lot of conviction on where we go from here, return to office. Guy are you surprised this is his conviction call . Claire coming from apollo, they are looking for ways to step in. But we see a big uptake in distress. If you have someone like apollo there are lots of opportunities right now. Alix we really appreciate it. There is more from the credi
From 3 to 6 . It is not really distressed. You overlay the asset liability that issuers have on the capital structures, recoveries on loans have been quite poor. You buy something at 70 and you wake up and there is an asset liability trade that gets done were a whole bunch of collateral is stripped out and alone trains debt trades down 50 points. Im not sure i sear the see the clear opportunity in distressed today, given their feels like a technical uplift on prices and there is a lot of flexibility in the documents that create a lot of liquidity options for the issuer. There is some tension right now, 85 matt that was joshua easterly at 6th street, speaking at the Bloomberg Global credit form in london. Welcome to bloomberg markets. Lets take a quick check of whats going on in the markets at this hour. Weve had some amazing moves in rates today after the fed came out yesterday with more hawkish paws than had been anticipated. That pushes down equity indexes as well. The s p 500 is dow