Michael its been a while since ive been able to give good news, so i will take as much time as i can hear. It doesnt happen very often, but it did happen in july. Manufacturing data betterthanexpected, particularly in europe with of increase for most major economy. Spain leading the way at 53 point five. Italy at 51. 9, france, 52. 4. The euro zone as a whole comes in at 51. 8. All of those numbers for the most part above what they had been in june. These are sentiment indexes that suggest that look at the comparison between june and july. We dont know whether they really incorporate the rebound in cases. In the states, we saw a much better than expected ism unemployment number of 54. 2, which suggests that maybe it did not capture it, or manufacturers managed to keep going through the covid outbreak. We are just now seeing covid start to show up more in europe again. That is something to keep an eye on. Several surveys show that while overall moment to miss revving up, momentum is rev
Fed president Robert Kaplan this hour. President trump orders chinese to shutdeo app tiktok down in the u. S. Next month unless there is a deal with microsoft or another leading american company. Breaking news out of south korea. The cpi numbers for the month of july year on year, a growth of 0. 3 . This is of course after inflation remains flat for the previous month year on year. We have seen somewhat muted demand. Perhaps weighing on the month on month numbers. We are seeing inflation at zero growth. This really missing expectations that prices would rise 0. 1 if also inflation is decelerating from the previous month of june. Core cpi take out oil prices, and you get a rise of 0. 7 , in line with estimates, and slight acceleration from the previous month. We have seen brent crude prices recover somewhat from aprils slump but still down 38 year on year also. The are also expecting tokyo Inflation Numbers within the hour so take a look at what japanese futures are doing at the moment.
And a lot of those stocks on fire. For some folks, that is all you need to move this market. Caroline it really does blow your mind. Taylor i will leave you here with three comments, not to cut you off, caroline. Jeffrey gold main and end cam partners are three analysts raising their prices on amazon. Almost a 2 trillion company can rise more than 5 on the day. Jeffreys, 3800 price target from goldman. Looking at 3350. Talking about the structural shift underway from these companies that are not just benefiting from a work from home environment, that is a permanent change that they see not going away. Caroline i take you or three, i raise you three. Im looking at morgan stanley, rbc, and socgen worrying about the complacency in the market. Looking toward the election we have in the u. S. , the risks as we get into august, september, and the turn we see in the market. Lets get the take from chief Investment Officer who is still with us. Is there complacency in this market . Brent maybe
Expected to drop 24 year on year. The futures are looking slightly lower, down four points. We are looking at some of the currencies. As david would say in the last hour, the bloomberg dollar index is on track for its worst july in a decade. A more dovish start from the fomc. No big surprises from the fed, but the lower mantra weighing on the dollar. The dollar index is flat, at least for now. Wellussie in his flat as aussieyen is flat as well. We move on to the commodities and the yield story. The question marks around oil were in focus as well towards the end of play yesterday. You saw a reduction in the u. S. By about 10 billion barrels. That gave some support to crude prices and wti, currently flat. Gold is now 5 10 of 1 . The 10 your yield on year, still below 60 basis points. 57 is barely moved, risch. Rishaad yep. Global coronavirus case is approaching 17 million. More than 660,000 people have died now. The states recording 150,000 fatalities. California, florida, and texas post
Its fullness in eternity, we bring our petitions to you using some of his final words. Bless the members of this peoples house and those in authority on all levels of society with wisdom and courage to address the unholy oppression that awaits so many of our brothers and sisters of color. May there be a new creative way of establishing Something Like Community Policing that peace and security might be enjoyed where we live. O lord, do we dare to consider the power of nonviolence in our homes, our communities, our nation, and perhaps in leadership for our world. Might we truly be called, if not challenged, to beat our swords into plowshares and spears into pruning hooks so that nations shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall we learn war anymore. And as we are reminded, the greatest expression of nonviolent challenge to injustice is the vote. Bless all efforts to secure access to the ballot for all american citizens. Help us, o lord, to answer the highest calling of our he