job s report. the unemployment rate went to 8.2%. 69,000 job was added in may. the fewest in a year and far below expectations. it s starting to look like 2011 all over again. that is basically you know you go up, you go down and you end up where you started which is not helping a lot of people. they also point to the deepening debt crisis in europe as affecting wall street. unemployment in the 17 nation that use the euro were at a record high 11% in april and spain s rate was almost 25%. the economy stands head and shoulders above other issues in this race. any slow down it seen as a opportunity for romney. a new poll of registered voters across the country shows the president leading romney 49-46% and romney is narrowing the gap. just a month ago the same poll showed a nine point margin. california s primary is in four days and eric is live in san francisco where he has learned the president is planning another trip back to the bay area. reporter: his last visit w
that call right now saying that you could say twice as many and that s statistically relevant or you could say it s .14%, is that going to change any election in the system? a very small percentage could have had a major impact on how one of the supervisor s recent races went because it was a very close race all the way through but would .14% of the turnout made a difference in who came out and became the winner? chairperson campos: thank you. commissioner olague? commissioner olague: i was wondering if you could if you might analyze some of these findings against the measure that i looked at it a little bit but if you want me to go more deeply into the measure i m happy to do that and report next month. commissioner olague: yeah, i would. because at the time i thought, well, some of these changes might be considered, i didn t have the advantage of having this information in front of me nor was i aware at the time that there was the study that was in play or in progress
there was the study that was in play or in progress, so i would like to, you know, to see i m more than happy to do that. with the commission s permission, what i might suggest doing is having me go speak if the supervisors are available that co-sponsor, to get some understanding on what s in the measure and why they did it the way they did, go talk with them, share with them what i found so far and see if there s anything they might have questions on. chairperson campos: i think that would be helpful. commissioner olague: that would be useful, yeah. i did notice, the way the ballot measure is written, there is one issue that i don t think was an intended consequence that might occur if the ballot measure stays the way it is and that s, there are two elections for statewide office that are elected in even number years, the recorder and the public defender. the way the ballot measure, the way i read it right now, is that there would be a september, november election, i
candidate voting, which is the school board, and humidity college board, and then the simple yes/no voting, which are used on ballot measures and some judges racist. we try to figure out and some judge races. we re trying to compare the current systems, how people vote in november, compared with how many people voted under the old run off system, which is where i first target. the information is not as thorough as the old days. before rank choice voting got put into place, the department of elections only tracked if somebody voted and the ballot was counted, and all of the people who did not have their ballots counted either because they under voted or over voted. i put together the data. that should be noted that some of the races are won candidate fields. when i am comparing elections, i always ignore one candidate fields. people look at that and say, i am not voting in this race, there is only one person to vote for, so why bother checking the box. you get a very depress
there are more over votes that occur in the rank choice voting races than the plurality races. so it is not the exact same number, but it is a way of trying to do the comparison. our people messing up at a higher rate than other collections? and then doing a quick analysis , the department of elections has 26 neighborhoods, and all of these there were 10 that were above average in r.c.v. races and in looking at those 10, i found that six of them, the rank choice voting was closer to 0 than the other races occurred and this was stuff i figured out before the meeting so i don t have it in a slide. there were a couple of races where they were in the middle and there were two races where they were lower than the plurality races. so rank choice voting, their percent is closer to average under rank choice voting than it is the other systems. now, the ones below average, those get closer to the average so their error rate as a comparison goes up in some ways. so that is the entire p