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a democratic conservative state, would there have been any political deal with him for that vote or was that mostly based on him wanting to lock up reelection in west virginia? obviously in some votes people reach out to you, deals are made. well, i think it s tricky to make a deal in this case. i can t imagine that joe manchin wanted to be the one democrat voting for brett kavanaugh. i don t think he liked being in that position at all. but i suspect with joe manchin s political calculation, he needs to win voters who voted for trump but also for him. there are a lot of trump/manchin voters in west virginia. i suspect that is a bigger political calculation, the biger piece than perhaps antagonizing elements of his pace. are they going to support the republican morrissey? so they have nowhere to go. they can stay home but i suspect
build up, get the public ready for this and get public opinion behind this. as far as we know, the amendment that they ve introduced doesn t change a lot of parts of this bill that other members didn t like and whether the public will bump it above 17%, which is what it has been polling at remains to be seen. right now if you re looking at the landscape, some of the members that say no have every reason to say no because the public doesn t like it. the mcmcarthur amendment is essentially if your state has a democratic governor or centrist, you can keep the coverage as it is now. a more conservative state has the ability to opt out that your state doesn t like. you create a state-based approach under a federal guideline. conservatives from south carolina and alabama think our governor will change the policy. new jersey or massachusetts, our governor won t. the question is, can they get to whatever it is with the special leks 215, 216 to pass a bill in
earlier. he s been there over a dozen times. what you see in the polls is more he visits, the lower his poll numbers go. he s got a problem there in iowa. it s a more conservative state. south carolina as well. his big problem i think is also jeb bush. he had been chris christie when he was sort of the favorite son of the establishment. that was his lane and now he s got jeb bush to worry about. a lot of folks in that second tier group together elike marco rubio try to figure out how to get to second place embedding their path to the nomination depends on whether or not jeb bush stumbles and his shock and awe campaign strategy we ve seen him roll out so far isn t shocking enough and doesn t really coalesce and have people coalescing around him. i think on one hand it depends on what jeb bush does and also depends on if he can sell that message to conservative states, places like iowa and that big primary with the southern states
diana and their kids tonight. notably not a brat endorsement. i would give almost anything to have been at that dinner and seemed what the reaction was. when they pulled the blackberry out. probably still a blackberry saying that eric cantor loses by 11 points, loses his home county, gets wiped out by a guy. people in the district didn t know about this guy a month or two ago. probably in the restaurant. not even going outside, screw it. boehner, you also have to say this about boehner. lindsey graham won his primary in south carolina. a more conservative state than the virginia district that eric cantor was in, won his primary in. there is something to say how
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