district is up here. that s 2012. mitt romney carried the district in 2012. let s go to 2016. we can look at this by congressional district leer. president trump carried the district. hillary clinton if you look at the statewide gap. hillary clinton carried franklin county. begun, you see this anywhere in america. the cities are blue, that s been during the trump presidency. that s why alabama has a democratic senator. i could go on including pennsylvania, and conner lamb. this 12krik9 is ruby red republican. the fact that it s so close is a big deal. let me switch again for you. we have 95 house races, 82 of
talking about candidate quality. they re both perfectly fine. neither is terrible. not a very good candidate. bad contrast with conner lamb who is quite good. these two guys are fine. a state senator and a guy who s in office, just an office. in some ways, it s just a generic. what party do you like better, these are safers for trump and pelosi. that s what this election has been about. the fact that it s this close. if you re a be and you say, troy balderson is ahead, let ace say he goes on to win. there s a whistling past the political graveyard, that should not be. that can be a takeaway. that should not be the key takeaway. this should worry you, if you are smart.
seen since donald trump s election, the pull back between ordinarily white collar suburban voters from his definition of the party. what we are likely to see in ohio is that it will confirm the friend that trend in the virginia race and special election outside of pittsburgh with conner lamb a few months ago, white collar suburbs usually lean republican moving away from them. that will produce a close race here. however this race tips, john, in ohio, if he confirms that movement, it is going to signal trouble for republicans defending other white collar seats around the country less republican leaning. that s one bell weather to watch, well laid out, ron. definitively what will happen in the mid terms? look, i think the other piece of ohio 12 is going to be whether there are any signs of erosion for republicans in the more rural and blue collar parts of the district.
tennessee. it made sense for ocasio cortez to be who she was in her district. centrist democrats, centrist republicans, over the last think of we ve all forgotten about conner lamb in his district. what he actually believed. he doesn t seem like he would be the person to join the caucus though, right? which is always an issue in terms of what codemocrats can d. i also think we sit here and talk about this big concept of socialism. we debate what it actually means. all the polling i ve seen. people go out state by state and ask what people care about. it s about the cost of health care. right. that s what people care about. if you can show up and say i m going to take care of the cost of health care, that s a really powerful argument. you re getting into details. you re talking about a nuanced powerful argument. lots of people don t get into the argument. they just go, oh, my gosh,
this is a referendum on donald trump already. can they play yeah, you can take out in the bronx and conner lamb and you know western p.a. and take your pick, find your candidate, district by district or do they need a national message? i think they need to make cheer to their individual members and their individual challengers that you run the best away for you to win the district because you know being pure and losing is no achievement, right? and so i know the parties are going to have a robust discussion going into november and it is to have a more interesting elections going into november. willingness is the only thing here and out, you know, connor lamb, won his way and cortez won her way. you can t flip those districts and democrats are dumb if they