years since the attacks of 9/11. we have had close calls, but in a decade, not a single attack on american soil, and no one predicted that. who do you thank for that? good question, about mike baker. martha: and the remnants of tropical storm lee, look at this, yet another scene of destruction in our country. flooding, tornadoes, and fires that we ve been showing you all across the south, live to some of the hardest hit areas this tuesday morning. bill: think the campaign has heated up already? upping the ante and the language in the fight for the white house. did you hear the rally call for unions this weekend? great panel to talk about this. it s a fight literally for our right to exist. don t misunderstand what this is. [applause] don t misunderstand. not a joke. not a joke.
bill: we have more bad weather for the northeast this morning. there s a major cleanup in upstate new york, cell phone video of a tornado tear ag cross a state throughway through amsterdam, new york. oh my god. screen left as it happened, and screen right is the after effects, residents cleaning up countless fallen trees and some, more than 100 years old. i can t believe what i m seeing. bill: people there are still in the state of disbelief. oh my god, i can t believe what i m seeing. i cell phoned my mom, she goes honey, there s a tornado warning for amsterdam, i m like n n don t get tornadoes here. i m more than shocked. you hear it, you see it on the news, but to have it in your face is so different. bill: i bet it is. it traveled 7 miles before
ohio, and virginia. so, larry sabato joins us, political science professor at the universities of virginia. good morning, larry, good to see you. good morning, martha. martha: looking at your map, you basically say if you look at things now democrats can pretty much count on the 175 electoral votes and the g.o.p. could count on 206, is that right? look, essentially, when you look at the map, martha, a kindergartener could color most of those states red or blue. you know, all states are important. i m not saying that only these 7 are important. but, political patterns matter. and, people s predilections toward voting democratic or republican are pretty set in most cases even when they call themselves independents and most of the states are already red or blue and look at the national polls and the national polls are nice, interesting and don t really matter. the only thing in our statement that matters is the electoral
we will be looking for real specifics. when the president talked about his plan for cutting the decifit over the summer, once we started to take a look at it, we realized there was no plan there, it was talk, talk, talk, no action. so we ll be looking for specific ideas, specific proposals to furs thursday fight and night and if we don t get them it will be a disappointment to the administration. bill: to that point, our own ed henry and peter barnes talked to people at the white house and they found out the white house was already lowering expectations for the speech thursday night. and if you re looking for specific ideas, i mean, does this need to be a home run? you know, do you expect to walk out of there and say that was a nothing burger? i m not the one they need to worry about. it s the folks that don t have the jobs that they need to worry about. if they come out with a bunch of hot air, they re going to have let those people down yet again. you re going to see the republic
back to work tomorrow, cut, cap and balance, but we ll see whether or not you get what you want to hear on thursday night and perhaps we ll bring you back and talk about it again, thank you, sir, nick mulvaney, columbia, south carolina. thanks bill. martha: it is a class on war clearly that is based on philosophy and religion but now the air force class has been suspended and that isn t sitting well, in particular, with a couple of republicans who are speaking out about this. we re going to talk about that. bill: also take a look at this monster, the massive menace accused of killing livestock and attacking fishermen. what is it? martha: what is it is right. not a nothing burger! bill: don t want that!