2020 election. and what we stand for as republicans. it s also say that i can lead you, by focusing on this. remember, the past is liberty with precautionary tales who could not pull together their factions. mike, there s a reason mccarthy listed those issues. they poll well now. that s right. this was a speech that the white house welcomed. i had been in touch with the white house leading up to mccarthy s plans, and they put out the big guns. they welcomed this as a choice election. this is not a refer ren rum. that s what they re hoping at least.
and january 6th and trump s unhelpful interventions, this is an unusual environment and i think we have to talk about this midterm with a certain degree of humility because nobody is quite sure how this plays out. this won t be a traditional midterm referendum on the party in power. it may become more of a choice election. we ll see. i wouldn t bet against history but you ll see a rather slim republican majority in the house. the democratic losses will be mitigated over the dobbs decision and i think trump s unhelpful interventions we never had a former president so active and midterm. this is not anything republicans wanted. i hear people this is unscientific. i hear people talking about the border, right? about immigration i should say. and also really about democracy and more so than the economy than before. usually it s the economy. look, we re having two elections. i talked to pollsters.
same thing kitchen table to dining room table to inside the factory. can i afford it? can i afford to fill up my tank? can i afford the food, the milk. can i find baby formula? you know i ask everybody across tis country. so he s not wrong. this is what voters are talking about, right? they re talking about inflation, but you have to remember what republicans want this election to be about. they want it to be about inflation, crime, border security. they feel that gives them advantage. as ron correctly pointed out republicans aren t talking about these issues in a vacuum that because of the abortion issue, because of january 6th and trump s unhelpful interventions and looking backwards and forwards this is an unusual environment. i don t think anyone really is quite sure how this plays out. this is not going to be a mid-term where it s a referendum on the party in power. it may become a choice election.
deplorables, and after the fact a lot of people thought that turned off persuadable republicans. he s specifically saying, look, i m talking about people who oppose the peaceful transfer of power, who support january 6th. an awful lot of republicans who would still identify as maga republicans whether specifically going to identify with all of the things and in terms of election denial is more questionable and, remember. you don t need all of the, let s say, 25 or 30% of republicans who don t support donald trump. you only need maybe 10%, in addition to which by making this a choice election, what we re trying to do versus the election denialism of trump and his hard-core supporters may mobilize democrats or independents and say, you know, if it s a choice election, we d rather be on biden s side than trump s side. a great point. great to see you, chris. thank you. you bet. thank you, kate. have a great weekend. coming up for us, take you