Does october start most interesting. As you well know, the president of the United States at walter reed hospital. He has been tweeting actively this morning, almost as much as jon ferro. In the markets, i would say weve got a bit of a celebration. Futures up 21, dow futures up 184. What do you make of the markets this morning . Jonathan a strong correlation between the president s health, his tweeting activity, and equity markets. We hope we avoided the local crisis, the chaos that many people were thinking about last friday. Up 0. 6 on the s p. In the bond market, this is where things get interesting for treasuries headed into election day. If the polling remains the way the polling looks right now, at a national level, the 14 point lead joe biden at the moment, at some point you do start to think about prices in the fiscal stuff. The key risk at the moment, i am catching up with Henry Peabody a little later tom on one of your other properties. Jonathan his view is that the risk the
Through for the United States at 57. 8. The previous number, 56. 9. The survey, 56. 2. We have a easily beaten expectations on this number, but the details are important. Lets dig into the details with bloombergs mike mckee. Michael important to realize this is a diffusion index that basically asks companies, what are things like this month compared to last month. There is a bit of an improvement. The level of improvement has slowed some. But that is a reasonably good number because we see business activity, which is sort of the same of production in the manufacturing index, up to 63 from 62. 4, and new orders up. Again, this compares with the last month. We were at very low levels, so the fact that things are expanding doesnt mean we are back to where we were. It just means that things are gradually Getting Better. The one thing everyone has been watching his employment. This report comes out too late to influence everybodys view on what the payroll report was like for august for sept
Environment which was lax when it came to normal, standard procedures associated with covid, wearing a mask, social distancing, trying to take as much outdoors as you can, and working from home. And none of those things were Standard Operating Procedures at the white house. I think that the American Public is getting a look at, when you take risks, you are going to have to pay the piper, and thats whats happening. David before any of this happened, one of the Big Questions in the election coming up just a month from now was, do we trust President Trump more than we trust former Vice President biden to handle this crisis . The president was already behind in most of the polls on that score. We are getting conflicting, sometimes ambiguous or confusing briefings from his doctor at walter reed. There was a lot of working things walking things back. We also saw the president get into his suv, a closed and contained suv, with two secret service agents, to drive past the people inside. He say
You have that poll in the wall stre street journal and maybe the stock market considering maybe we wont have a contested lebs if the polling tells you anything accurate about where this race truly is what do you think investors should be taking from this move . I think thats correct. I think the two primary drivers for the higher market today are certainly the fiscal spending and what it equates to in the near term and the dynamic in the market for a trade and investors to extap larapolate is a rise i yields were finally seeing a welcome rise in yields and that is certainly on the belief of both of those actions i mentioned previously you have that to consider and how you want to trade that it has a direct impact perhaps on growth versus value, the polling on the upcoming election and were thinking about the president s health and what all of this means for the Campaign Going forward. So youve got a number of things in there. Lets start with yields. Rates being 0. 74 as a new high or r
Make concessions on fish that has led to concerns among officials that he could hurt efforts to reach a wider trade deal between the eu and the u. K. They have said there can be no deal without agreement on what access eu boats will have to british waters. Onbal news 24 hours a day air and on bloombergquint take, powered by journalists and analysts in over 120 countries. I am Mark Crumpton. This is bloomberg. Vonnie it is 1 00 in new york, 6 00 in london, 1 00 a. M. In hong kong. I am vonnie quinn. Welcome to bloomberg markets. Here are the stories were following. White house chief of staff mark meadows is optimistic President Trump could be released from the hospital this afternoon. The latest headline throughout the hour. Again asties higher investors hope a stimulus deal may come soon, among other reasons. We talk to valerie grant, Portfolio Manager at alliance. Internal documents from exxon wasl reveal the company projecting an increase in co2 emissions of 17 by 2025. That exclusiv