Like three previous polls, it found that the governing ANC was waning in popularity and would garner only 39% of the votes if the elections were held tomorrow. The national and provincial elections must take place by August.
Unless something unforeseen occurs, the shape of post-election South Africa is already reasonably clear. It shows a wounded and decaying ANC, well below the 50% mark; the DA (19%) and EFF (16%) each winning less than a fifth of the vote; many of the older smaller parties dying off; and the rema.
The order handed down by the International Court of Justice has been hailed as a ‘landmark victory’ for international law and human rights, as well as a ‘hope for humanity’ in both the political and civil society spheres, despite no ceasefire.