We are live in brussels. Manus warm welcome to daybreak europe, from london and abu dhabi. One thing we have to get our heads around, have we got a little overly exuberant about riskon a little too soon7the world bank comes out with their growth report. Looking into the depths of it, it is a world we havent seen since 1990. China, under 6 growth. Nejra good morning, and great to see you. We got factory numbers from germany causing some concern. The eurozone, another flashpoint. Going back to jim littell risk, geopolitical risk, it looks like for now we will not see further escalation between iran and the u. S. , but the risk of proxy war is still there, and as the investigation happens into the boeing crash as well, if that becomes a clinical headache for iran you wonder if they could feed into wider risk in the region as well. Manus yes. The question for markets here is whether there will be plentiful supply. Headlines,e, red well delve deeper shortly. Innate pharma, a big miss. The m
Some have moderated a little. We trade at 68 59. Gold went above 1600 an ounce. We come off the high a ten year yield did get to a 170 breaking a trend line that weve been in since september but now down to two basis points on a 180 handle on that. Looking at dollar yen though that comes off a little bit. Unchanged there on that currency pay. European equities in the red but a reasonably muted move also what were seeing in u. S. Future. One point we saw it drop as much as 1. 7 but we recouped ome of those losses. This morning we begin with the retaliation from iran against the u. S. For the killing of its top general. The nation firing a series of missiles at Iraqi Air Bases Housing u. S. Troops. The escalation coming hours after President Trump says the u. S. Was totally prepared for an attack. Irans foreign minister saying tehrans is retaliation. It adds it isnt looking for war but will defend itself. Also this morning shortly after takeoff a boeing 737 bound for ukraine crashing in
Investigate all the. Of the conflict which quickly. All. The conflicts within that organization. There was a special team to investigate claims of collusion the state was allegedly involved in the it was headed by a particularly intelligent determined detective. A full review. Involved. And. Directly involved as the review can seniors and we found out more. About. Was involved in some. Those cases. The one trying to totally surprised me was the the fatal bombing of the step in in august launching 76 people were killed where there was overseen by a woman all for police offices. That really flabbergasted me by the lack of response from the only you see. It was quite evident from the outside looking in that certain interviews material and documents that elements of the all you say knew that some of their offices who were planning and eventually carried out the final touch of the step in so many others which are. Just in the past 7 years. Suspecting customers. What its incomprehensible to
And tear gas the streets. Australia orders large scale from bushfires as the death toll mounts. Sophie lets check in on the open in sydney after the asx 200 best annualrop the performance since 2000. We see it open slightly to the downside as we wait for markets to come back online elsewhere in the region. We are getting some data from australia coming out this morning. Home prices notching up the biggest threemonth gain in a decade. We are not seeing much reaction in the aussie dollar, softening a touch after hitting a fresh high. New zealand equity markets remain closed and the kiwi dollar keeping fairly steady after topping 67 this week and japan also remaining offline thel january 6, again, currency cap a Fourth Annual gain. Paul thanks very much. President trump says he can assign the first phase of a trade deal with china on the 15th of this month ahead of a visit to beijing where talks will begin on the next part of the deal. Lets bring in our china correspondent now, selina wan
Street journal, first on china, greg, everyone seems to think that if you dont get a deal, if you can push back tariffs, for now that might be just as good as one, what do you think . Certainly we are past the days where every sickle things got worse, things look worse, the markets took it on the chin, we are now in a stage where things arent getting worse, thats okay, nice if we got better, nice of phase 1 deal but honestly just like staying where we are is satisfactory for the markets. I think, neil, the way to think about it on the trade front we reached a new equilibrium, higher uncertainty, more unilateral action but the markets having sort of got use today the new equilibrium and will take it hard if the equilibrium gets worse. Neil lets say we dont get a delay on tariffs, i imagine that would not be well received . People are putting 75 probability that we delay the the december 15th tariff increases that would be my expectation as well, i dont expect things to be terrible. Neil