former house speaker mark arubio, kendrick meek and charlie crist. we hoped to have that senate debate. marco rubio s father sadly passed away. that s a tightly fought contest. in kentucky, you have rand paul, the tea party candidate and attorney general jack conway. rand paul away head here in a poll out this morning. what do you see? republicans have to almost run the table. the thing about it is that s pretty common in three of the last six elections one party has won over 80% of the final tossup races that are out there so there s a cascading effect that tends to happen. florida, you called it interesting. i call it bizarre. early on democrats thought we get two bites at the apple. democratic nominee and then we ll have charlie crist who turned away from the republican party. instead what you ve got is marco arubio, the republican, consolidated the right of center
arubio, the republican, consolidated the right of center vote to you have two candidates, a former republican, and a real democrat that are splitting the nonconservative vote and i think it gives an edge to arubio. these are incumbents that could lose. senator box we are a tough fight on her hands. in washington state, patty murray defending against dino rossi. he has a better environment this year. wisconsin, russ feingold is defending. he s got a primary september 14th. ron johnson looks to be the most republican to win that race and of course nevada senate majority leader harry reid trying to hold off sharron angle. what strikes but these races? this is a class of democratic incumbents that never had a really, really difficult year. and they live charmed lives.
consolidated the right of center vote, so you basically have two candidates, a former republican, and a real democrat that are splitting the nonconservative vote and i think it gives an edge to rubio. let s look at some of the tight democratic seats. these are incumbents who could lose. we ll go through them. in california, very interesting race. senator boxer with a tough fight on her hands, carly fiorina, former head of hp. in washington state, patty murray defending against dino rossi. he has run for governor twice. a more moderate republican. he doesn t have to deal with a lot of republican problems. he has a better environment this year. wisconsin, russ feingold is defending. he s got a primary september 14th. ron johnson looks to be the most likely republican to win that race. and, of course, nevada senate majority leader harry reid trying to hold off sharron angle, also a tea partier supporter. what strikes you about these races? this is a class of democratic incumbents that
fought contest. in kentucky, you have rand paul, the tea party candidate and attorney general jack conway. rand paul, in a poll out this morning, way ahead here. what do you see, charlie? republicans have to almost run the table. the thing about it is that s pretty common in three of the last six elections one party has won over 80% of the final tossup races that are out there so there s a cascading effect that tends to happen. florida, you called it interesting. i call it bizarre. early on democrats thought we get two bites at the apple. we ll have a democratic nominee and then we ll have charlie crist who turned away from the republican party. instead what you ve got is marco rubio, the republican, has consolidated the right of center vote, so you basically have two candidates, a former republican, and a real democrat that are splitting the nonconservative vote and i think it gives an edge to rubio. let s look at some of the tight democratic seats. these are incumbents who could
9 1/2% unemployment which our governor has done nothing about. people looking to keep their jobs. the governor wants to give drivers s license for illegal immigrants and interstate tuition so he has gone beyond. people here in massachusetts are fed up. stuart: mr. cahill, would you in this race, it is very likely you would put governor patrick into the governor s seat again for another term, because you re the independent. you are splitting the right of center and the center vote, with the republican candidate baker. you are putting governor patrick back into office for another term. i don t see it that way sty art. i think charlie baker would be worse than governor patrick or every bit as bad. he s got a lot of liberal view points. i don t think he s willing to stand up to the media who wants this type of policy to be abolished.