better, but this is the start that mcsally certainly wanted to see. that was the total you certainly would have expected. let me ask about arpaio. is he bigger in other counties? maricopa county is where he was the sheriff for years. potentially in the more outlying areas, his brand of conservatism, his style of conservatism might fare better potentially. but that was the issue, mcsally wasn t just that she was ahead, it was that this ward/arpaio sort of trump wing of the party, that the vote would be split up like that. we have five points better somewhere. maybe ward does five points worse. together they re sitting in the high 40s. i can just show you here. this came in as i was talking. this would be the early vote here, mcsally in the early vote. we would have again, here you go.
i want to go to steve kornacki. as you can see on the bottom of the screen, we are now getting those results in arizona. steve, tell us what we know. this is the way it works in arizona. they come in in giant bunches. what you see right now, maricopa county in the phoenix area, more than half the votes in the entire state comes out of here. what you re looking at is the early vote, the vote that was cast before election day in maricopa county. the vast majority of the vote is mcsally. that will come out of the largest county in arizona. so this is a very significant total of all of those in the primary. you see mcsally running very comfortably ahead. carrie ward, joe arpaio. together they re getting around
mcsally. that will come out of the largest county in arizona. so this is a very significant total of all of those in the primary. you see mcsally running very comfortably ahead. carrie ward, joe arpaio. together they re getting around 20%. we can tell you when carrie ward ran against john in 2019, she did better in the same day vote than she did in the early vote. the issue there was so much of it was early vote and it just didn t erase much of it. he was able to shave probably five points total off that early vote. in the same day, ward and arpaio would probably do a little