down during the winter. a lot of discussion about valley forge, fighting picking up in the spring. this is a fight to the death. the russians are doing very badly. russia is destroying so much of the infrastructure. in kherson, there s no power. it s cold. how does ukraine get through this winter with this carpet bombing? well, to be honest, i think they re going to get through it. it s going toject mystery for the civilian population. take a look at past aerial bombardments of societies. germans, brits in world war ii, it almost never brings a society to their knees. it s not going to happen. it s going to be abject misery, but i think the ukrainians will
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ukraine. they re doing it with massive support from the united states and the west, but vladimir putin, i mean, let s talk about six, seven months ago, he thought he was going to be sitting on a thrown in kyiv with the russian flag flying over the capital. how does he recover from this. he tries to call up 300,000 servists, there s pushback, people rushing to the border to get on planes and trains to get out of the country. does this military have a shot here in ukraine? oh, yeah, they still have plenty of dirty cards in the hand of tricks, if you will, and it could be as we ve talked about at the really dark end of the spectrum, a nuclear device. i think that s highly unlikely. he could use a chemical weapon. he s ramping up the carpet bombing, if you will, simply going after ukrainian civilians, mounting on a up huge tower of war crimes. the mobilization is going to fail him. and winter is coming for
above all, he s trying to stake out a position that he can uphold and attempt to cling to in a negotiation. yeah, it seems like he s more like trying to lock in there. so let s dive in a little deeper on that, this idea of if this is now russia, these new territories, any ukrainian resistance can be seen as an attack on the motherland. is that a pretense for escalating and what could that look like, and is this the moment that nukes or biological weapons come into play. what we re going to see is a horizontal escalation. instead of using conventional troops on the ground which are failing, he ll move to a carpet bombing other parts of ukraine. he could conceivably go to a chemical weapon. a nuke is unlikely but not impossible. we saw a significant act of
isn t going well. how do you see this playing out if you re him? we know the west has puts put pressure on them, the united states has provided aid. we know the ukrainian military are brave. where does this go if putin is backed into a corner? putin is a brilliant tactician but he s a terrible strategist, in other words, he can maneuver and kind of turn very quickly, and because he s a complete autocrat and has his hands on the levers of power, he doesn t have to work with the congress. he doesn t have to worry about public opinion. he can simply make decisions so i think unfortunately that will lead him to do things like a massive cyber attack, i think, becomes more of a possibility, directed against not only ukraine but perhaps western europe or institutions in the united states. increase the carpet bombing, if you will, using his long rain
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