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Peer-reviewed / Simulation or Modelling / People A new modelling study has estimated that from 2000 to 2030 vaccination against 10 major pathogens - including measles, rotavirus, HPV and hepatitis B - will have prevented 69 million deaths in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). The study estimated that, as a result of vaccination programmes, those born in 2019 will experience 72% lower mortality from the 10 diseases over their lifetime than if there was no immunisation. The greatest impact of vaccination was estimated to occur in children under five - mortality from the 10 diseases in this age group would be 45% higher than currently observed in the absence of vaccination, according to the research.

City ofUnited kingdomNeil fergusonCaroline trotterKaty gaythorpeKaiser permanenteJohns hopkins universityLafayette collegeAcademy of medical sciencesLaval universityMelinda gates foundationUniversity of hong kongColorado state universityUniversity of cambridgeUniversity of notre dameUniversity of cambridge united kingdom