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Conventional wisdom long dictated that if Latino voters show up to vote, they will overwhelmingly support Democrats. But a recent report with more details on the 2020 election results suggests the reality is more complicated.
It was clear after the election that Trump had made gains among Latino voters in places like Florida’s Miami-Dade County and Texas’s Rio Grande Valley. The newest and most detailed data yet shows that the trend was nationwide. According to a recent report by the Democratic data firm Catalist, the number of Latinos who cast votes increased by 31 percent from 2016 to 2020, accounting for a 10th of the electorate. A comfortable majority of Latinos an estimated 61 percent supported President Joe Biden, but there was about an 8 percentage-point swing toward Trump, based on data on votes cast for either the Democratic or Republican nominees in 2016 and 2020.
Every election comes with its own branded swing voter. In the 1990s and early 2000s, we had soccer moms and NASCAR dads, as well as security moms and office-park dads. Over the last four years, the typical swing voter was either defined as an upscale suburban resident (Peloton moms) or a white working-class voter in small-town America. But, these groups all share one thing in common: race. The working assumption in modern politics is that the more diverse the electorate, the better for Democrats, and the whiter the electorate, the better for Republicans.
And, as a broad generalization, this is true. However, it doesn t do justice to the inherent swingy-ness found within non-white communities.
Florida Democrats Sound the Alarm After Spanish-Language OAN Buys Miami Radio Station, Fires Liberal Host
On 4/13/21 at 4:42 PM EDT
Raul Martinez was the kind of well-connected radio host based in a swing state who got major interviews during the 2020 campaign, like then-candidate Joe Biden, as well as Susan Rice and Alejandro Mayorkas, who eventually joined the new administration.
The former longtime Democratic mayor of Hialeah earned a tells it like it is reputation among his supporters for railing against corruption in Miami politics, and was a fan of giving nicknames to politicians he felt were doing a bad job, calling Governor Ron DeSantis, Ron D
Trump's quieter hold on GOP stays strong: The Note go.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from go.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.