The dollar index just below 97. Crude oil rallying 2 today on stocks going higher. 87. Arrel of wti 37. Lets get more on the markets. Scarlet fu is with us. Scarlet jay powell testifying before congress for two days of discussion, stuck with his message that the economys path is uncertain. We have seen indexes come off of line isghs but the positive. You look at the industry groups, 20 groups are higher. Within the dow, 29 out of the 30 names are up. In terms of leaders, caterpillar, boeing. The white house is preparing a 1 trillion infrastructure proposal. Up 4 frastructure etf right now reflecting higher demand. Retail is up after a record gain in sales. A lot of retail names are heavily shorted, so you could be seeing a short squeeze as investors rushed to cover their bets. All of it comes back to fundamentals, like earnings. Morgan stanley talked about the disconnect between the optimism out there and the bottom line. Andgap between the s p 500 as aftertax profits has soared to rec
Do you think its important that congress extend the relief of extra Unemployment Benefits . I think we try to keep our comments on fiscal policy at a high level. Ill come to your specific question but i would just say this. This is the biggest economic shock in the u. S. And in the world, really, in living memory. We went from the lowest level of unemployment in 50 years to the highest level in close to 90 years and we did it in two months. Extraordinary. And appropriately, the response from fiscal authorities has been large, forceful and very quick by the standards of these things. Roughly 3 trillion congress has authorized and thats benefiting households, laid off workers, small, medium and large businesses, hospitals, state and local governments. 14 of gdp, its in a class by itself in terms of both the size and speed of it. Its also pretty innovative. Both the ppp and the Unemployment Insurance are quite innovative in the american context. There were difficulties in implementing the
Yesterdays market turmoil. Certainly, futures are doing better than the carnage of yesterday. Mohamed elerian will be joining us. We will get to dr. Elerian soon. What did you see in the literature overnight about able or a bear market reversal . Bearbowl a bull or market reversal . Jonathan the driver the last few weeks has been the sequential movement we have seen. The limits of normalization, the limits of recovery. Iec think several states in america this week, that is what to keep in mind in this market. What i found fascinating was the separation of Ig Investment grade from real, tangible carnage in high yield. First of all, oil prices are tumbling the most since april. That was the main driver of what we saw in the highyield space. All through the market, you saw this grab for cash. A return to what we saw in march. We saw the dollar surge and goal declining. People looking for cash to offset risk positions. ,t raises the question again what does this say about the feds ability
Sockof course is momentum that of course is the momentum behind this rally. Rally seems to be fading, and another interesting piece, we have the Canadian Dollar soaring against the u. S. Dollar with the oil rally. You were mentioning that everything is rallying, and that is true too for bonds. The two year yield carving out a record low and that tells you that bonds are rallying in a big way. While stocks are rallying you have investors going towards the bonds, suggesting they have their eye on the economic picture. The jobs data and nonforeign payrolls coming out tomorrow which will be devastating, not just from an economic standpoint, that from a human standpoint. The question is will we see more of a connection between stocks and the Economic Data or not . Or will we have investors look past the data towards the liquidity that the fed has been providing . Certainly a risk on day. David that is what they have been doing so far. Few mckee got to talk a minutes ago with mary daly, the
Be playing into sentiment. All of the sub indices in the s p 500 are lower now. A real pause in earnings reports from the Oil Companies to amazon, down 7 after saying it would likely spend all of its operating profits on covid related preparations to protect employees and customers. Also saying that revenue increased, which was a positive sign out of amazon, but again, investors selling that stock today. Barrelil was above 20 a , so i bit of a recovery, if you want to put it that way. It certainly doesnt feel that way. Then we had the ism manufacturing data earlier which really cast a pall over the earnings outlook. Ecb president Christine Lagarde is forecasting euro area Economic Growth to shriek as much is 12 this year. This is the central bank announced a series of further that effectively amount to do an Interest Rate cut. Thanks on the front line of the economic recovery puts banks on the front line of the economic recovery, but does it go far enough . Ofh us now is Marilyn Watson