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of how many people will actually get this disease? it will not go above 80%. for planning purposes, of course, we go up to the highest rated reasonably could, but in reality, the proportion of the population who get infected is likely to be lower than that and probably a lot lower than that. with more than 50 cases round the country now, officials here are working notjust on plans to contain the spread but emergency laws in case the worst should happen. there is a sense in government now, it is a major practical and political challenge. if, or maybe when, we get to the stage where it can no longer be contained, to the health service, the economy, all of our lives, there could be major disruption for several months. within a few weeks, the government might put limits on people gathering at big events like concerts or football matches. if large numbers of officers take ill, the police might only focus on serious crime and keeping order.

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