president trump making a massive final push. eleven rallies in eight states. several critical states could have a direct impact in the balance of power in the senate. one of them key races in florida where the republican governor rick scott is looking to keep incumbent senator bill nelson from landing a fourth term. peter ducey is in miami, what are the vulnerable candidates telling you th vasey is a deciding factor in these midterms. there is still a ton of talk about the brett kavanaugh confirmation fight. that is as dean heller told me he thanks the excitement on the right that that created lasted just long enough to help him because it lasted just until early voting started, but he still faces a tough challenge from jackie rosen. this weekend in tennessee,
senate republicans picked up six seats. as we look at both can we look at the early vote more than 34 million are ready. people are fired up. how that breaks on tuesday, it will be fascinating to watch. the democrats, animated by their feelings of mr. trump, they re the party with the motivation this time but recent events seem to contradict that, republicans got very fired up over the treatment of brett kavanaugh and it looks now as if it s not quite a wash because democrats are motivated to the max but republicans have closed in on them and the polling has looked better for republicans but the betting odds, which you know i like to talk about, still favor the democrats getting control of the house. in the senate, people betting on this rate the democrats
what he got wrong was at the state level and we need to measure state-by-state because that s how america votes. i think it s a really big deal. as you said it was 25000 in the exit poll. this is a hundred 25000 and it s reaching them on the internet, cell phones and on their landline because everybody knows not that many people use their landline. and it s starting ahead of the day of the election. it starts saturday and runs through when the polls closed tuesday. you re getting all those who voted early and those who decide to turn out that day. the level of detail, state-by-state is so interesting. we can tell people in west virginia how much the coal industry matter to their vote and in indiana and west virginia, how they voted on kavanaugh and whether or not that swayed voters one way or another. it also looks at people who didn t vote. resting why didn t you vote. why didn t you engage. it measures the economy, immigration, all kinds of
in 20 sexting we all sat in this room and watch something that was so remarkable take place so here we are two years later, all that pent up energy for people who have been resisting this president and people who happen supporting this president, that s what is going to come down to. these are so many close races. one key point and i look at the fact that in the average first midterm, the president s new party loses 28 seats in the house, presidents can be very popular and get big crowds, but their names are not on the ballot. people will vote for senator x and congressman why and as we saw with bill clinton and barack obama and george bush, that doesn t always transfer from the president s popularity to what happens with his party in the house and senate tonight you both believe that the biggest issue swing voters so far has been the brett kavanaugh process?
in 2016 we all sat in his room and watched something that was so remarkable take place in so here we are two years later with the pent up energy of people who have been resisting this president and people who have been supporting this president and that is what it will come down to here because these areop close races speed. i look at the fact that in the average first midterm the president s party i loses 28 ses in the house and presidents can be very popular and get big crowds but their names are not on the ballot and people will go and vote for senator x and congressman y and as we saw with the clinton and barack obama in bush that doesn t transfer from the president s popularity to what happens with party speak quickly, you both agree that the biggest issue slain voters so far has been the brett kavanaugh process in that situation? k go ahead. you go had. i disagree. for republicans actually,