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Let the Re-Election Guessing Games Begin: Ballots & Boundaries

April 27, 2021 12:07 PM Now that states know whether their congressional delegations will shrink or grow, it’s time to indulge in one of Washington’s favorite games: Guessing who won’t risk making re-election pitches to voters accustomed to being represented by someone else. Four House members are retiring and another four have declared their interest in another job—including Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan (D), who announced a bid for the U.S. Senate ahead of the Census Bureau confirming that Ohio will lose one of its 16 districts. Ryan’s northeastern Ohio district has been trending Republican and could be dismantled.

Place Your Bets on Alabama or New York: Ballots & Boundaries

April 20, 2021 12:07 PM As we get closer to the promised release of official 2020 Census numbers, politicians in Alabama and New York have reason to sweat a bit. The state population totals coming out by the end of this month will decide how the 435 seats in the House are divided among the states for the next decade, with faster-growing places gaining and the rest staying the same or losing. Each state is guaranteed one district under the Constitution. An arcane formula that governs reapportionment creates a rank-ordered list of “priority values” that determine which states get House seats 51 through 435. In an analysis by Election Data Services of April 2020 population estimates, New York’s 26th District was projected to be No. 435, just ahead of Alabama’s 7th District.

Michigan GOP Plans End Run Around Governor: Ballots & Boundaries

Michigan GOP Plans End Run Around Governor: Ballots & Boundaries
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OK, New Mexico, Do You Really Mean It? Ballots & Boundaries

OK, New Mexico, Do You Really Mean It? Ballots & Boundaries
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What to Know in Washington: Infrastructure Odds Tied to Earmarks

March 16, 2021 7:01 AM By Zachary Sherwood and Brandon Lee President Joe Biden’s next big economic package helped set off a heated debate among Republicans over whether to participate in the return of lawmakers’ dedicated-spending projects, known as earmarks, a tussle that could be key to its success. After muscling his $1.9 trillion pandemic-relief bill through Congress without a single Republican vote, Biden is hoping to bring GOP members aboard an infrastructure package set to be a core part of his longer-term economic plan, estimated at trillions of dollars. Speeding a complex, multi-year initiative through Capitol Hill will be largely impossible without the GOP, due to Senate rules. To make negotiations easier, Democrats rescinded a 2011 ban on so-called spending earmarks. If Republicans decide to amend party rules in coming weeks and follow suit, it could be a good sign Biden’s bill gets done.

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