now only 24%. kamala harris you see moving into second place. this was taken just after that first democratic debate. single digit biden lead in the lead-off caucus state. only eight points. how about new hampshire? remember, they go iowa and then they go to new hampshire eight days later, and then new hampshire even tighter. biden s advantage right now just five points in new hampshire. sander, warren, both side for second place. both behind biden. sanders and warren are both neighbors excuse me, new hampshire borders massachusetts. new hampshire borders vermont. sanders won this state last time around big over hillary clinton. the border state senators usually do well in these new hampshire primaries. the risk there for biden, not hard to see. does it tighten even further in iowa? does he get caught in iowa? if he doesn t win, does it cascade into new hampshire? if he is 0 for 2 in first two primaries, all bets are going to be off when it comes to biden. the first two a little shak
for organizational strength, bret. bret: and they re working the phones. let s break down the voter trends and my colleague bill hemmer is back in new york at the touch screen. hey, bill. megan, good evening to you, we showed you the tool in iowa last tuesday night and we ll bring you back and give you an idea what we re looking at behind me. we can look at results and the economy and the state level as a look ahead which we will do continuously, as we move out of this process. tuesday night. remember, iowa had 99 counties and in the state of new hampshire, a much different story. new hampshire had ten counties in total. many did not hold a lot of votes, but what will be key on tuesday night, a few areas down here in the southern part of the state. this is hillsboro county. and this is the most populous county in new hampshire and borders massachusetts, mitt romney s former home, the former governor s home there, also, rockingham county to the east there, two critical areas that wi
in the far northern part of new new hampshire, 20 minutes from canada will be the first to vote. and polls all over the place will open doors to voters in this the first of primary elek season and as massachusetts governor, mitt romney is a favorite here, he has a home in the state. more than half of voters have yet to settle on a favorite. and we have team coverage and carl cameron will tell us on the campaign trail and steve brown will talk about the undecided voters and molly brown for the ground operations for these campaigns e let s start things off with our main man in new hampshire, campaign carl cameron, in exete exeter. as bret mentioned. undecided or likely to change
republican side coming out of iowa, it s because somebody has dug in in new hampshire like john mccain did in 1999 and new hampshire operates independently of iowa so it s not really affected a lot by iowa, it s affected some, but if you have a big shift it s because somebody has laid the groundwork as such a shift by literally calming out in 1999 and making the state his own. so the foundation was there, new hampshire likes to con found the front runner and the problem this time around for the challengers is that the front runner in new hampshire is that he s got a, you know, four years of the governor of adjoining states and the two largest counties with over half the vote, rockingham and hillsboro have a lot of people who commute to work in massachusetts. joe, if repeat, if romney should go on and win here in new hampshire by let s say at least ten points, how strong a position, after the very close
for organizational strength, bret. bret: and they re working the phones. let s break down the voter trends and my colleague bill hemmer is back in new york at the touch screen. hey, bill. megan, good evening to you, we showed you the tool in iowa last tuesday night and we ll bring you back and give you an idea what we re looking at behind me. we can look at results and the economy and the state level as a look ahead which we will do continuously, as we move out of this process. tuesday night. remember, iowa had 99 counties and in the state of new hampshire, a much different story. new hampshire had ten counties in total. many did not hold a lot of votes, but what will be key on tuesday night, a few areas down here in the southern part of the state. this is hillsboro county. and this is the most populous county in new hampshire and borders massachusetts, mitt romney s former home, the former governor s home there, also, rockingham county to the east there, two critical areas that wi