Global stocks despite lingering tensions between washington and tehran. Ubs shakes things out. The swiss bank splits its Wealth Management unit into three, cutting up to 500 jobs and naming two new Division Heads. And made in china. Elon musk is in shanghai as the consumer rollout of tesla vehicles finally takes place. We are on the ground all morning. Just under one hour away from the start of cash equity trading across europe and in the u. K. Take a look at futures here. You will see that they are up across the board. We have gains in asian stocks, which are pushing up european futures, dax futures, up. 6 , as are ftsefutures as futures. U. S. Indexes rose yesterday. We are seeing green arrows again in terms of futures with about 5. 5 hours to go until the start of trading. Anna, what do you see on the gmm . Anna pulling up the gmm function on the bloomberg, and we are bouncing across these asian equity markets, getting some upside coming through on the japanese markets. We are close
United states and weak business in fixed investment. I sit at the time we should do modest limited adjustment to the fed funds rate. The other thing i was worried about is the curve was inverted and i felt it would be much better if we had an upwardly sloping curve. To me, the curve is a symptom that maybe our adjustments were about right it was not intended to solve these issues but intended to adjust policy in light of these issues. I think the curve being upwardly sloping tells me we are in the right place. Want to move on to the consumer because the fed is putting so much impact on the consumer. Beenl sales have decelerating. A november number was half of what the Consensus Forecast was. Our Bloomberg Economics team expected holiday sales to come in at a gain of 3. 4 , the second weakest of the cycle. What if your main engine of growth is starting to run out of gas . That weakbeen worried Business Investment and weak manufacturing would seep into other parts of the economy. We have
Manus a warm welcome to bloomberg daybreak europe. Do you believe that phase one trade deal between the u. S. And china is the most momentous day in trade history . Those are the words of lighthizer. Bank of america, a cracking note out this morning. Get ready. It will be frontloaded. 5 up on the s p 500. To e old rates are going bang up. Nejra how worried should we be about the potential curse of phase one and done . We have seen a risk rally. The phase one trade deal for china but also the u. K. Election, but the question this morning, as we sit here going into 2020 becomes is the absence of some bad news going to be enough for risk assets or do we actually need more good news to come along . Manus indeed. To the markets. There are the believers, the doubters, and there are a course those people that have yet to be convinced. The yuan is truly one of the believers. We come off that break point down to one of the biggest 1 ony drops moving by friday. What does it take to rerate you wa
At the ecb, Christine Lagarde says the central bank will be resolute on inflation. Manus we kick off bloomberg daybreak europe, waiting to hear exactly what the list of unreliable entities are from the chinese back to the u. S. Alive and well against argentina, brazil, france. That is the market angst in global trade. It is not going down. If anything, we are ratcheting higher. Man back at it, and this is the first time President Trump has explicitly tied tariffs to currency issues. We sigh risk on session yesterday and that started to sour in the u. S. On the terrace risk and on the factory data out of the u. S. After optimism around china. Manus of course, you are quite right. Interesting how his view on currencies the bloomberg john, crazy from like a fox in terms of understanding how currency markets move. The backs rose on a of issues. Socgen says the fed will cut 100 basis points year and the u. S. Faces Recession Risk, and you may see yields drop to 1. 2 . Bloomberg say if you s
Social elect leaders that favor exiting the coalition with the cdu. Narrowing the lead, four of the five latest polls show the Uks Labour Party closing in on Boris Johnsons tories as President Trump visits britain for a nato summit. 7 30 in london and 8 30 in paris or berlin. 29 minutes from the start of the European Equity trade for monday morning and things look flat on the European Equity markets, but that is not necessarily the global picture overnight. U. S. Futures, looking a little more positive. Probably, we are reacting on the Positive Side of things to the data out of china, the manufacturing pmi coming in higher than estimates. That seems to be something that could lift equity markets in the United States later. Futures look more positive for the u. S. Lets get to the Asian Session and the gmm shows us where we are on asian equity markets on the far side of the screen. 4 , indonesia doing strongly and the russian market, not bad. A slight cleaning for the on equityrisk on mo