Getting a carryon of this sanguine sentiment coming through from asia overnight, we had some exuberance yesterday after hitting fresh record highs. Our hopes that we could get up three chris is tax reform surprise prechristmas tax but are concerned about a partial Government Shutdown if a deal is not reached by next week. Over all we are seeing a pickup in the markets. One thing we are watching his commodities. We of course have a situation where it has been a extraordinary bull run when it comes to commodities so far this year and a lot of it has in down demand in china continuing to pick up. We are going to be looking into the question of whether that will be coming to an end, ryan, given that we are seeing the Housing Demand pull off in china cool off and china. In north korea, sanguine reaction when it comes to the equities markets in asia. You can see on the chart, we ave had the increasingly repetitive indications that the missiles have gotten more advanced incapability or nuclea
Xpectations. Still, a majority of the committee were clearly in favor of the rate hike that the fed went ahead within december, and the majority of the committee are still expressing some confidence that inflation in the mediumterm is going to move back to 2 . But there is a sense that confidence in that is slipping a bit. That matches up with the feds forecast, the dots that we saw last month. The median for rate hike projections asked year is three, but their worst next year is three, but there were Six Committee members below that meeting. Ledave a more hawkish group by people like Loretta Mester in cleveland, and they are more concerned about a severe undershoot of unemployment in 2018, possibly leading to a bump in inflation. And here is another interesting quote i found in the minutes. Participants discussed several couldthat, if realized, result in a steeper path of increases in the target rate. They mentioned those risks include the economy expanding well beyond its maximum sus
We are printing, following higher euro markets as well. You have killer pmi data coming out across the board. Services are stronger in europe. That leads to a selloff in all the major developed markets, and courtonds developed bonds in europe as well. The curve is moderately steeper, and crude, only 4 10 of 1 , but almost 52 a barrel. What does that mean for production . David the saudis do not mind. Alix and at the top of Global Growth is copper, up 1. 3 , at 7,200 a ton, a big move for copper. We will discuss that Global Growth story. David lets find out what is going on outside of the Business World with emma chandra. Scott it has emma it has been a dramatic split between President Trump and one of the former architects of his campaign. He says steve bannon has lost bannond, after insulted his family in his book. Congressional leaders have signaled progress on a budget agreement needed to avert a Government Shutdown this month. There is no deal yet. Among the deals being discussed,
Commodities were on their way up. Ime for the morning brief citibank will be releasing its earnings. Will get Empire Manufacturing numbers for january and this afternoon President Trumps dr. Is going to brief reporters on the president s First Physical exam. Its all coming up today. Time for your daybreak first take. Global equities are rallying. We are waiting for those citi earnings. And the race to get a deal done in washington. Alix thanks for being here. The one im looking at is the equity rally. Rsi index versus the major indices. The s p is the yellow. The purple is european stocks and the white is the global world all in major over but territory. Is this going to be a Global Growth story . Are you going to say the word synchronized . I think synchronized and kick the can are sure to come up. We can get even more signs that the word of the day is euphoria at bank of Americas Fund manager survey for january shows that cash levels among Fund Managers fell to a fiveyear low. Share
Concerns about harsh factory conditions. Yvonne, we know equity markets here in the u. S. Were lower but what has been rising and rising quickly has been s p estimates by analysts. See so many upgrades because of how high the markets have passed the markets have run. I have a chart view that shows this g btv 8902 here is the yellow line here for s p earnings estimates this year. But how they are accelerating and rising given that the bull run, the record bull run we have seen so far, much faster than the s p estimates for 2019 and 2020. It looks behind the curve, perhaps wall street has been to how much tax reform seems to be propelling these markets higher. It is quite rare to actually see these earnings upgrades in the months of january so i guess they are starting to see this windfall when it comes to tax reform. But it was a wall street overnight. First you had down a 26000 and then you had down and you get back to flat and a lot of russians on whether this is a onetime affair or i