Higher. Eurodollar up by 0. 4 . Is the ecb getting worried at this point . 1. 2163. The dollar is broadly lower. The pound just taking out 1. 35. We havent been at these levels since this time last year. What is fascinating here is what is happening with bond markets as well. Weve basically got yields and stocks moving in the same direction. That is something that is pretty interesting now. It certainly points to this reflation trade at the moment, with the catalyst still having legs. Alix the question is how long is that last. Lets dig into some of the top stories guy was minting. Germany extending its partial lockdown. Sweden shutting some schools as well. Joining us with more is sam fazeli, Bloomberg Intelligence senior pharmaceutical analyst. We have seen more targeted lockdowns and extensions. Is any of that working now in europe . Sam yes, they are. Funny that we have countries going at different paces which is normal because they have different issues with regards to the number
It seems investors once again looking past the difficult months that may be ahead. Pricing forwards month statements are nine months ahead hoping we get past the virus. There could be difficult time ahead but this week you will not know it. David i should say. Thank you to Abigail Doolittle for that report on the markets. Overnight we were reminded of the complexities of the u. S. China relationship as a Foreign Ministry spokesman congratulated Vice President biden even as the trumpet ministration was bidding u. S. Investments in unspecified Chinese Company they say is tied to the chinese army. Richard haass published a Foreign Affairs piece called repairing the world in which he lays out the issues that will be in President Bidens inbox the day he walks into the oval office. Welcome. Great to have you with us. China is in the inbox but is not the first thing. The first thing is covid19. Richard i agree. China is in the inbox and will be for president as for the eye can see your the br
Green shoots rhetoric. What makes it interesting going into november, the financials had already been up 30 out of the march low, plus the yield curve has, in. The yield curve has come in. It is puzzling why the banks are up so much. It has to do with the narrative of the traders and investors buying cyclical stocks on the potential for strong recovery. Guy i will cheat david i will cheat. You and i talk when we are not on television. What is going on with the yen . Abigail those are some of my favorite conversations because we can move back and forth. The yen does bring attention to itself over last year. It is up about 4 . When you have stocks at alltime highs, you have bonds at record highs, although folks will say the fed the yen is a pure play haven. Over the last year, up about 4 . Some traders might like the fact that stocks are higher, but theyre probably hedging for the possibility there could be choppiness ahead. That is true for the vix. The vix is still above 20. That is in
So that is pretty evenly split, actually. Theres certainly quite a lot of recognition that Central Banks need to think about new toolkits. We are going to go to some questions now, but if you want. O use the platform to submit i think larry gave an excellent description of what the core problem is that the developed world faces, that there is a glut of saving and a , and it of investment really means that we have to have fiscal policy, structural policy, and things other than. Ust relying on Central Banks i think Central Banks need to do what can come about they can. Adopting a system called flexible average inflation targeting, i think this is an appropriate change. Somewhat improve the scope of Monetary Policy to show that shortterm Interest Rates are often constrained by the effect of lower bound. I think it is helpful in preventing a cycle of falling inflation feeding falling inflation expectations, but i strongly believe Central Banks need to be independent and need to do everythi
We have the travel and leisure stocks popping sharply higher. On the other hand, the stayathome trade, the zooms and the pelotons are down. Interesting to see how much of our behavior trickles forward into the future. Right now those stocks are being sold off. The one piece not quite fitting into the puzzle, bonds just about flat. Bonds not selling off. That may stick to the more difficult months ahead as the vaccine is raging here in the u. S. The virus is raging here in the u. S. Ahead of the vaccine getting out there. Bonds more nearterm looking at the reality. Stocks more optimistic, doing with the s p 500 does. Later alix david would be speaking with dr. Celine gounder. Paulsontime ago, henry appeared at the Bloomberg New economy for them and set a comprehensive new approach to u. S. Relations with china. We welcome him back to balance of power. Lets spend just a minute on the new Economy Forum. We are about to Revenue Administration in the white house. We will hear from the presi