new york. steve, let s start with where i left off. who they will vote for. we re see something pretty interesting revelations from this poll on both congressional preference and voter enthusiasm. what stands out to you. i think a couple of different ways to slice it here. start on the question here of the president s approval rating. joe biden at a 42% is a approval rating right now. last time we took a poll, this was back in may, he was also at 42%. so beginning of the summer toward the end of the summer, we ve seen no real change in joe biden s approval rating. this one is key in terms of november. because historically the president s job approval rating is linked to how the party does in midterm elections. the only two presidents who saw their party gain seats in the midterm is bill clinton in 98 and george w. bush in 2002. each had an approval rating, clinton was near 70% on election day in 1998. bush was well into the 60s.
midterm elections. the only two times in modern history that a white house party has actually picked up seats in midterm elections was bill clinton in 98, george w.h. bush in 92. their approval rates were well above 60%. biden in this range have typically lost seats. this is the generic ballot, which party would you like to see control congress. you see republicans in our poll with a two-point advantage on this question. statistically not much different than the 46-46 tie we found back in may. we ve seen this in a number of other polls recently, too. a tightening of that generic ballot. if you think back to the republican landslide year in the 2010 midterm elections when barack obama was president, by this point republicans were starting to run away with the generic ballot. we re not seeing that yet in the polling. although in 2014 another good midterm year for republicans, barack obama s second midterm. at this point democrats were
here that people really haven t seen before is that among hispanic voters you see democrats with barely an edge at all, really within the margin of error, basically tied, democrats and republicans tied with hispanic voters. democrats held a 47-point edge in the 2018 midterms. sounds slightly high but basically there s movement. some things we know are real and long lasting. what you see there among white voters what i ve called the class inversion is something we have been experiencing for 50 years frrks the new deal to the 1960s, non-college white voters, white voters without a college degree were the cornerstone of the democratic coalition, since the 80s they have been the cornerstone of the republican coalition, starting in the 90s democrats started around bill clinton in 92, democrats started running better among college educated vote, particularly women and those who live in the big metros, both of those trends were pushed to extremes under donald trump. democrats run better
nato is looking at a fundamental transformation around the border, yasmin, if you could just follow up with that. yasmin, if you could ust follow up with that. , ., , with that. yes, that is right. it has been with that. yes, that is right. it has been pretty with that. yes, that is right. it has been pretty note, - with that. yes, that is right. it has been pretty note, i - with that. yes, that is right. it has been pretty note, i think, | with that. yes, that is right. it. has been pretty note, i think, for some has been pretty note, i think, for some years has been pretty note, i think, for some years. there was a thing called nato but some years. there was a thing called nato but who knew what it was doing? and as nato but who knew what it was doing? and as the nato but who knew what it was doing? and as the russian bear grew bigger and bolder, they seemed to be. i rememher and bolder, they seemed to be. i remember the and bolder, they seemed to be. i rememberthe pa
attention to build back better or trying to slim that down. that s what we re going to keep an yay out for. right now, we are watching the senate vote on this filibuster rules changes and what we are expecting to happen and what we are keeping an eye on is that democrats will not have enough votes to get that done. all right, jessica dean, thank you very much as expected. we appreciate that. joining me now cnn senior commentator and former ohio governor, mr. john kasich. good evening to you, how are you? hi, don, i m good. always interesting. yeah, i know, and it never stops. you ve been critical on the course of this president, the course this president has taken lately even though you supported president biden against trump. did you like what you heard today from him? what did you think? i just don t think he hit the mark particularly well, don. lack, we mentioned bill clinton in you know, you talked about him earlier.