a big wave of infection. people who believe that the surge of delta that you saw in the summer really was the surge that you re going to see in the northeast. i am a little bit more skeptical. i think that you are still going to see a wave of infection sweep across the northeast as kids go back to school and they become sources of community spread and people return to work, the weather gets cold, and people move indoors but i think by thanksgiving, you will have seen this move its way through the country. dr. gottlieb also suggested that the u.s. could have a level of covid immunity at around 80% through a combination of vaccination and infection. and earlier, i spoke to dr. scott miscovich, a national consultant for covid testing and asked him if he agreed with the former-fda commissioner s analysis. i agree with him on all those points because, you know, we have zero-prevalence data across the united states. and what that means is people go in for a routine blood draw for, like,
won t see infections quite like you have the last year and a half. first going back to what you were saying, because we know how this virus works, right? it goes to one part of the country, then goes to the other part of the country. when do you think the delta variant will have run its course? i think probably thanksgiving it will run its course. the pacific northwest became inflamed a little earlier than that. i think the big question mark is whether the northeast will see its own surge of protection. there is a presumption that because it has high infection rates that is somewhat impervious to a big wave of infection. people believe the surge you saw in the summer is really the surge you ll see in the northeast. i m a little more skeptical. i think you ll see a wave of infection sweep across the northeast as kids go back to school, the weather turns cold and people move indoors.