that is your third scenario where essentially you get two or three candidates all kind of in a lump, huh? this has happened several times in both parties. it s difficult to project a clear victory when there is only one or two percentage points between the first place finisher and the second place fin esh and the third place finisher. you say well there are three tickets out of iowa or four tickets out of iowa. this could happen this time around with mitt romney and ron paul and maybe rick santorum all finishing close to one another. with just continue the campaign. the campaign march through the four january events and then onto the big events in march. jon: then your fourth scenario a false start for a candidate who does well in iowa and then kind of fizzles i guess? sometimes iowa can fool us in another way. i think back to again, george h.w. bush but another election year, 1980 when
that is the word. arthel: thank you, cheryl. jon: dramatic displays of grief giving way to quiet now in north korea. that nation ending its 1-day mourning period for kim jong-il with a countrywide moment of silence. at the same time hundreds of thousands packed a memorial service. government officials paid tribute to kim jong-il and for the first time named his son, kim john unas the country s supreme leader. the state-run media is suggesting not just the north korean people mourning kim jong-il but a bird that came into a textile factory. it perched on portraits of kim jong-il and his son. greg palkot live from seoul. reporter: you have to love it, jon. today s events were billed as a memorial to kim jong-il but it is really about confirming that the son, kim john unwill be the kim junk un. will. the scare where we first saw