vote. especially in michigan where you saw the depressed turnout in detroit in 2016. i think overall what you want to make sure and what, you know, you said trump is not sending these by accident. someone tallied that he sent 43,000 tweets through i think yesterday. and, no, they re not by accident but they re not that thought out either. he sends them from a state of mania in the morning and even if they re intentional by topic it doesn t mean that they re smart. it doesn t mean they re strategically successful. so, no. we can t jump every time he tweets about it. but if the tweets aren t smart, and everyone is chasing the tweets and not chasing their own not focusing on their own game, who is the fool? well, the fool is any candidate who can t defend, if they re being attacked from the tweet, and pivot off of that. so elijah cummings, he not only attacked not only defended his district and his city but
so it s not a state that s easy to predict or pigeon hole. voters here don t always take the predictable position. what s going on right now, because when president trump won in 2016, it was the first time a republican had taken michigan since 1988. it was a bit of a shock to many in the state. then in 2018 you had a huge turnout, big democratic vote, democratic women swept all of the top positions governor, attorney general, secretary of state. and now the question is, what kind of turnout are we going to get in 2020? and some people are predicting possibly another record turnout, as many as 6 million votes. but the question nthat s tearin up the democratic party in michigan right now is do you go
of different geographic concerns and different ideological alliances. if we see a spike like you re talking, 35-36% of eligible voters, how would you expect that to map in terms of partisan affiliation. obviously that wouldn t just be a pure democratic vote. i mean, predominantly if you look at them on average, lean for democratic around the country. when it comes to cuban american vote, puerto ricans are going to be really interesting test this year. that s we talked so much about how this midterm election is a test on the president s policies and obviously his handling of hurricane maria and puerto rico. that s going to weigh heavily on their decision when they come out to vote. there s a lot more central and south americans throughout florida right now. so the hispanic vote is very complicated here in this state. overall, when you look around the you try. when yvirginia, northern virgina
up the vote and enthusiasm and stuff you can t measure on paper. almost took the house of delegates within one seat, which was not ever going to happen. they would have taken. had that legislature not the taken the house by a mile. that s the other thing going on. we don t talk about it. it s become the climate. we have regular storms. the country is gerrymandered to structurally benefit republican candidates in such a way that if you look at the popular vote for congress tonight, democrats may need to win the popular vote by double digits in order to have a chance at winning control of congress. that is why the governor races and state legislative races are as important as congressional races. they can redraw the district after the next census. if the playing field is going to be untilted, they will be the one to do it. i just got the eye from steve kornacki, what do you have.
ohio governor, too early to call at 7:30 eastern time. and one of the big races, we keep touching on. so many people are following, georgia governor, too early to call. over to steve kornacki at the board. what do you have. steve, i understand we ve got new important numbers out of some of those virginia house districts we ve been looking at. we said, remember, there are four. four republican held seats. democrats are really going after it in virginia where we ve got the most votes in. right now outside of washington, d.c. tenth district a name you ve been hearing. a lot of that this year. barbara running for re-election. in a district hillary clinton won by ten points. it is less than 48% in right now. again, we ve got well over 40,000 votes. interestingly you see where this vote is coming from. it s going to billion pretty instructive. this is louden county. outside of washington, d.c. this is the biggest chunk of the district. about 40% of the vote overall is going to come out o