right. so that will be an indication of whether democrats can have really expanded the field. okay. so those four races in virginia, that s a good case for those being bellwethers. there s a problem with virginia, though, because they take a little while to count their votes. we need to probably look to another state would that be florida? i think it would be florida. florida counts pretty quickly. there is a bunch of things down there they re going to look at. how many republican-held seats do democrats consider to be in play? isn t it like four seats? four that they think they might have a real possibility to do. and there are two different types of districts. so, two at the southern end of the state, starting from miami beach, going all the way out to the keys. these are republican-held districts that hillary clinton won between 16 and 20 points. one of those races, it s an open seat, it s donna shalala, who is running for this. democrats thought they would pick th
mr. murray, it s great to have you with us tonight. thank you for being here. it s my pleasure, rachel. what do you think we should watch as early bellwethers? yes, well, the kentucky race, we re not sure what that means, regardless of that outcome. at 7:00, virginia closes. so, the kentucky race, you re saying, it s interesting but it won t necessarily point us in one direction or the other? right. it won t point us to what the story of the night is going to be. for the story of the night, you want the virginia races? i want the virginia races. there are four races in virginia that will give us a lot of information. you have the one in northern virginia that barbara comstock is running for re-election there. most folks consider that a pickup for democrats already. if democrats don t pick up that, it means it s going to be a big night for republicans. but let s say the democrats pick up that. that s expected. let s move to another district. let s move to dave brat s dis
we re going to look down to virginia beach, scott taylor s district is in trouble there, the middle of the state district, the 5th which is from charlottesville down, that s an open race between right. so that will be an indication of whether democrats can have really expanded the field. okay. so those four races in virginia, that s a good case for those being bellwethers. there. a problem with virginia, though, because they take a little while to count their votes. we need to probably look to another state welcome, that be florida? i think it would be florida. florida counts pretty quickly. there is a bunch of things down there they re going to look at. how many republican-held seats do democrats consider to be in play? four? four that they think they might have a real possibility to do. and there are two different types of districts. so two at the southern end of the state starting from miami beach going all the way out to the keys. these are republican-held
state. it is home to five districts, count them, five considered to be among the most competitive, including minnesota s second district. that s where jason lewis is facing a challenge from angie craig. i m joined from red wing, minnesota, by kevin tibbles. in the last week, as i understand it, you have visited half of that state s congressional districts. what have you found there? reporter: well, craig, yes, we have put a few road miles on the old rental car over the last week from duluth down to red wing, rochester yesterday, obviously minneapolis, st. paul area. and you know, minnesota really could be one of the bellwethers tonight here in the second as you just mentioned, there is a tight race, and up in the eighth as well. so minnesota really could be swinging in either direction this evening, and i just happen
exciting kentucky house race. that stuff is going to happen right away. but substantively, when are we going to know which way the night is going overall? joining us to talk about some of the early returns, bellwether races we should be watching is patrick murray, president of the monmouth polling institute. mr. murray, it s great to have you with us tonight. thank you for being here. it s my pleasure, rachel. what do you think we should watch as early bellwethers? the kentucky race, we re not sure what that means, regardless of the outcome. at 7:00, virginia close. the kentucky race, you re saying it s interesting, but it won t necessarily point in one direction or other. right. it won t point us to what the story of the night is going to be. for the story of the night, you want the v races? i want the v races there are four races in virginia that will give us a lot of information. you have the one in northern virginia that barbara comstock is running for reelection ther