back in mid-december folks at fox business said who is your second choice for the republican nominee. desantis 25%, ramaswamy 20%, haley at 15%. we went back to september. four months ago. also with our folks here at fox business, who would you never support for the nominee? back in september christie is well over 50%. pence, who isn t in the race at 42. ramaswamy 26 and donald trump at 23. what does this all mean? basically if you go back in history and look at the iowa caucus, a lot of the polling before doesn t really turn out that way. what happens when you do pull a surprise? this is what we found. in the last two really big contests out in iowa ted cruz before iowa was at 20%. he won, right? first place finish. beat donald trump by 3 1/2 points at 28%. it s not conclusive but a more
with the eye toward new hampshire and south carolina but before super tuesday. we have a former president whose name i.d. everybody has a feeling about donald trump one way or another. and ultimately sis ceiling, his vote ceiling has been below 50% of the republican primary electorate. his floor is very high. if this will be a competitive race the winnowing process we see through iowa, new hampshire, south carolina and beyond is imperative to have a basic race with somebody. whether it is ron desantis, nikki haley i guess we ll find out probably start finding out in less than a week. dana: they are competing against each other but regularly talking about the current commander-in-chief. ron desantis last night. i can tell you, i would love to run against biden. i won t let him hang out in his basement. we would run him ragged around
those about the southern border. take a listen. i am going to build the wall. he said build the wall mexico pay for it. he has reflected on that promise saying there was no way he could have mexico pay for it. he promised record deportations. he deported less than barack obama did in his first four years. as for former u.n. ambassador nikki haley she moved to number two in the fox news power rankings in new hampshire. prior speculation she could be donald trump s vice president if he were to be the nominee. caught up with her yesterday and asked her directly is she open to being trump s vp or would she like to slam the door shut on that right here right now. take a listen. i don t play for second but also said i am in no way interested in a vice president seat but happy in six months to tell you who my vice presidential candidate will be. one final time.
sell to think about. for years prior. rick sanitarium in 2012 before iowa at 3%. he won the iowa caucus. got all the momentum going into new hampshire headed for nevada and south carolina. 30% after new hampshire. it can make a difference. josh holmes with me. good morning to you. i guess you could say that second place isn t defined as second place, josh? i think that s right, bill. you have to remember, iowa is typically either a springboard for a quicksand for a candidate coming in and going out. generally speaking the number of candidates that compete in the iowa caucus don t make it to new hampshire and beyond because of that winnowing process. so much of this campaign in particular because of donald trump s commanding lead and the fact that iowa has not been particularly suspenseful in terms of who will ultimately win it is about winnowing the field
can you shut the door on not being trump s vp ever in the future. i don t answer that. who wants me to answer it? ron desantis and chris christie want me to answer it. i don t play their game. not a straight answer right there. as for vivek ramaswamy he has been struggling in the polls but he has been barnstorming the state. stayed determined. more events in iowa than any of the other candidates. yesterday he had one of his events essentially get snowed out. couldn t get to it and had to cancel it so he called into it in face time into the town hall and took questions from voters. so he is showing effort to try to connect with these iowa voters and he said come monday night polling won t matter. his ground game will show up for him. send it back to you. dana: looking forward to seeing you this weekend. bill: on the billboard, an interesting one to look at and consider if the polling is right and donald trump has this massive lead is the story monday night about second place? if