Declines across the middle east and asia, impacting early trade in europe. A slowing in chinas Services Expansion weighs on sentiment but trade tensions lift as beijing prepares to send a delegation to washington to sign the phase one deal with President Trump. And japan vows to tighten its immigration rules after the countrys first prosecutors break their silence on Carlos Ghosns escape, calling it illegal and unjustifiable. Welcome to street signs, everybody. Our top story today, there have been International Calls for calm after iran announced it would abandon its commitment to the nuclear deal following the killing of general Qasem Soleimani. They have urged washington to, quote, not using force while calling for restraint from both sides. Germany worries the roll back on Irans Nuclear commitments could be the end of the 2015 commitment javad zarif said the pullback is capable. We are seeing reactions in the market today a sentiment has certainly taken a hit on the back of this esc
2020 fresh economic stimulus from beijing adding to the optimism but under the surface the russell 2000 seeing its worse day in a month and we got some mixed labor market data here in the u. S. Earlier in the session. We are up 235 points on the dow, near highs on the session for all three major averages joining us paul hickey cofounder of the spoke Investment Group very good afternoon to you happy new year to you. Where do you stan in terms of whether this bullishness is justified. Is it easy to pick bullish or bearish as we stand . When you look where things stand out, you look at the equity pros and cons which we look at on a regular basis, the pros are balanced with the cons. That doesnt suggest you should be taking a cautious view or just a neutral view implies average returns for the market Going Forward. And when we look whats going on in the market now, whats happening now, brett hits new high nasdaq hitting new highs what we follow closer than any other group is semiconductors
And probably a vote we expect somewhere between 6 30 and 7 30. It is important that everybody remember that it is im not saying it is a side show there will be people who are going to be talking about and i heard some of them today saying, listen, there could be a surprise in the senate, might be some defections. I dont see it that way. I look at i only have history not a lot of history with these things, but day by day of when clinton was impeached in trial and anniversary of which is tomorrow. Yes, it is. And you got that period from january 7th, 1999, february 12th, really the most turmoil and thats where you at the height of when things were bad, the nasdaq lost. 18 s p down 3. 0 dow down 2. 6 and after that the market roared. If you want to know when to buy, might want it buy into the teeth of tomorrow, maybe even next day. Because it is just a great opportunity. It doesnt feel as though when it comes to the markets that there has been any real impact from this no. None whatsoever
The dow had a close thanksgiving lowvolume trading day. Shanghai on the way up. 6 10 of 1 of the hang seng just. Till 500 points at the moment there below that psychological importance. Lets move along and have a look at some of the other aspect classes that are in play. Taking a look at that taisha in number that came out a short while ago. That has affected bond prices that we see. 10 year yields moving to the upside. Three basis points. This is relatively unchanged. Seven rmb three. Crude oil, 1. 5 up. This is being reversed partly by opecs oil minister saying could be taking place in vienna this week. We could see a deep cut. A cut of 400,000 barrels a day. That means the oil barrels have gone into the action. This is suggesting we have gone through a key level. As a result we are seeing more movement in the downside. True. 8 down. 3. 8 down. In theh price action gold. Certainly, there is little risk there is Risk Appetite will we thought there would not be much Risk Appetite. Lets
The day when the dow was down more than 300 points the russell 2000 fairing the worst. Lets go to bob at the New York Stock Exchange remember all this optimism on friday the jobs report helped dispel some of the concerns about recession. Dispel didnt get rid of them. The market started expecting some positive news on trade. We have an escalation of the trade war and thats pressure with the usual names the problem is the markets increasingly coming to believe that a trade deal even an 80 trade deal may be unlikely this year thats a big problem it means potentially lower growth in 2020 it means flat to lower Interest Rates. It means flat to lower oil and it continue emphasize on owning the defensive sectors. Those utilities, those Consumer Staples that have been so much a stand out theis year and so expensive. They are the stand out sectors this year. This narrative means stocks are expensive right now. Number one the Fourth Quarter guidance, if this uncertainty continues is not going to