E if there was such thing as an efficient market then either george soros or Warren Buffett could compound money at 20 percent for 20 or 30 years because i would be impossible if markets were efficient and all information was known in the price reflected all that information so clearly markets are not if not efficient and this idea of reflexivity its a bit of a Quantum Mechanics entering into the finance space you know this like schrodingers cat as a Quantum Hedge Fund operator. And thats very. Scientific in that way but it nevertheless it does have a huge impact and i do think that we are seeing that in markets today people are looking at stock markets and assuming you know they hated the dow jones when it was at 9500 you know 1011 years ago after the 2008 financial crisis remember it was too high of 9500 its going to go to 3000 well here we are near 29000 and people are saying well its going to go to 50000 and they love it at this price because as somebody famously wrote in a. Book p
A war torn country with sectarian ism is wrong its just nonsense you cant do it you know if these people they are yet until proven we can thank you michel and eventually all of innovation i would love to but im afraid thats all we have time for thank you to both of my guests independent journalist and keith best former chief executive of the Immigration Advisory Service thank you both. And if you have any thoughts on this story or anything else than do get in touch by following us on social media and media comments that were back in 30 minutes say that. Max kaiser here with cassar port hey you know before george zorros became vilified as a globalist and market manipulator and election writer he wrote a lot of interesting books and of course. Jim rogers of the quantum fund which was one of the best performing as funds ever kind of invented the modern hedge fund and hes got a lot of things to say if you look at his old work and were going to get into a Stacy Herbert were going to talk ab
What you observe might not know youve influenced their behavior so you can actually observe their behavior with economics how george soros explained reflexivity reflexivity refers to the self reinforcing in effect of Market Sentiment whereby rising prices attract buyers whose actions drive Prices Higher until the process becomes unsustainable george soros saw all this fact as incompatible with equilibrium theory and well get into that in a bit but i know you study because when i 1st met you 17 years ago you were talking about this you were talking about george soros and reflexivity can describe it as smoking your own belly button lint you describe that you are being reinforced in your beliefs by the manifestation of your actions to take further actions which then give you more to believe in human minsky call this a mens game moment where you know stocks are high because stocks are high you know people are buying stocks because theyre high. And theyre high when theyre buying stocks that
Balloons increasing 26 to just a little less than 1 trillion. Joining us for the hour is chris verona, Strategas Research partners here we are, we can see it, we can taste it, a new record high and everyone is really calm around hiere. The lack of euphoria is telling. Theres this great divide between perception and reality what are the headlines impeachment, recession, china, pmi under 50 but the reality is, signs of cylicality are starting to show up in every corner of the globe. You see it with semis and with trucking stocks, german dax is at a 52week high, the banks are acting better. I think the tone of the market is so different than what the tone of the front page of the paper says every day and i think thats bullish great to have chris with us for the whole first hour of the show, particularly given that we might have that record alltime closing high for the s p 500 the key level to keep an eye on, by the way, 3025. 9. We are at 3022 at the moment lets focus in on the big storie
Ahead to the last of chinas big angst to publish results. Two years after taking the wheel, ubers Dara Khosrowshahi rates his performance so far. We have an exclusive interview. Kathleen all it takes is a little trade war optimism to carry us over the stock market. Look what happened stocks closing higher across the board in the u. S. Today. The s p 500 approaching a threeweek high. Not a big market, but still a move in the right direction for most people. The dow gaining 1. 25 . , wasasdaq, of course, tech really helped by this optimism on trade. Take industrials led the way. Ech industrials led the way 10 of 11 sectors closed higher today. The only one that did not was staples. The answer could be that when the trade war showed signs of moving forward, especially after Chinese Government official who spoke to the Commerce Department said were not opens are now about putting more tariffs on the u. S. And retaliating, lets Start Talking about taking the tariffs off, that is what got th