Historically a tricky month. How much, though, does it have to do with the turn were starting to see and the data . The calendar itself, sure. The data are what they are in terms of performance but its want been bad when you have the market up, 10 or more. To me thats one of the things you keep in the back of your mind. The seasonal weakness was mostly felt in august. Either the turn in the data or just the fact that were not being able to escape the late cycle back drop. At least psychologically. When you have employment down to 3. 5 . The fed has been tightening for a year and a half,ist time to wonder, how much longer can the cycle last . Theres not much to observe in the numbers, aha, its here, the soft landing is a fantasy, its not going to happen. As many have said in the jobs number is consistent with a soft landing. Who knows. Consistent with descending into Something Else . I think the biggest risk in the near term is that longer term yields keep going up, and not just because
Matt yeah, i am actually going to try to pull off bunds, as i suspect you will see an impact. Not as much of an impact, but it could be that we are currently finished with trading. Right now, obviously, 5 00 here in london, 6 00 on the continent they do not open until 8 00 p. M. It looks like they have finished trading for now. For the day, a drop to negative 0. 145. Oliver we can scarlet we can track the yield on the 10year. It is at session lows, dipping to 1. 4612 percent. We are at session lows. However, you are looking at the s p. Oliver the s p got a little bit of a pop in the last 10 minutes. We are at a bit of a rally this morning, but you can see this kind of pop. This will potentially bring more loose money into the equation. We have seen that with fed funds going to zero following brexit. Were back to the situation where, guess what, maybe this is in a perverse way good for equity markets and good for people that want to see continued accommodation from Central Banks around
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