first to you on ivan s final point, the last ballistic missile set out, that was around prime minister abe meeting with the president. this is the eve of xi jinping meeting with president trump again down in florida. is this not provocative with a capital p? it is. i would go with vegas odds that you ll see one when president xi is here. i would bet on another missile launched or perhaps a nuclear test which would be much more significant. north koreans have tested over 20 missile launches last year. that s the most they ve ever done and they just keep on trying to be provocative. so for secretary tillerson to say we ve talked enough, that s never the case, as far as i m concerned as a military guy. i want those diplomats talking a lot more because fighting would be exceedingly hard in that terrain and devastating in terms of civilian casualties. if we take your vegas odds