and, you know, things catch up with you and maybe that s what s going to happen here. we ll see. it will be interesting. incumbents seem to be drop on the democratic and republican side as you know, bill. specter has a particular problem. he s facing sestak, which is tough. he would if he won, he would face toomey in the fall. his biggest problem is he s running against himself. there is an identity crisis, a political identity crisis go on here. sometimes he s on one side, sometimes he s on the other. he s confused people. i think barack obama is wise not to go in for arlen specter. i think it is sestak. you think sestak will win. james, your prediction? if i got to go with the polling and the polling is favorable of sestak no you. and toomey wins. why do you say toomey he s the republican, the likely republican candidate. why do you think it would be automat automatic? pennsylvania is pretty democratic. it is not automatic. but this is a good year. toomey is an ex