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Mathematical analysis of COVID mortality rates in the US and Europe shows that second-wave mortality was often greatly reduced - particularly in wealthier European countries and the northeast of the US.

New south walesNew yorkUnited statesNew jerseyMax menziesNick jamesMarcus stromNicholas jamesPeter radchenkoSchool of mathematics statisticsUniversity of sydney business schoolTsinghua universityUniversity of sydneyWestern europeanAssociate professor peter radchenkoSydney business school