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Analyzing Hogan’s entry in Maryland; deciphering action out west; the 2024 Democratic downside risk.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE–Last week, national Republicans got their best possible Senate recruit in deep blue Maryland, with former Gov. Larry Hogan.–Though Hogan will be hard pressed to actually win, as has been the case with some other recent “crossover” governors who’ve run in Senate races, his candidacy is notable enough that it moves Maryland onto the periphery of the competitive map.–In Montana, Rep. Matt Rosendale (R, MT-2) finally entered his state’s Senate contest, setting up a primary with Tim Sheehy, who national Republicans prefer. In Arizona, Kari Lake, a pro-Trump election denier, received the nod from national Republicans, though Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s (I-AZ) plans are still not known. With Democrats being so exposed this cycle they hold roughly two-thirds of the Senate seats that will be up it’ll be important for them to minimize their losses.

United statesWest virginiaNew hampshirePinal countyJeff dewitEvan mcmullinAngela alsobrooksKyrsten sinemaDavid troneTanish guptaMatt rosendaleMarsha blackburnTim sheehyAngus kingKyle kondikRon brownstein