hundred miles before it hits land. it could get stronger than that in between what we call these points where you see all the circles there on the cone. hurricane warnings in tampa all the way up to apalachicola. my concern is this map looks an awful lot like what ian looked like just about 36 hours before arrival. ian missed tampa and ended up way down here at ft. myers beach. i don t want you to take this lightly, tampa, because the track is up here this time, not towards you. if it takes that typical right-hand turn, you are right in the middle of what could be a catastrophic hurricane. the area it s going to hit is called the big bend area until any models change. they haven t changed today. right now we re at a 70-mile-per-hour storm. another hurricane hunter aircraft is on its way to check to see if that went down or up over the past couple of hours. there s that category 3 to the west of about new port richey,
11:00 a.m. advisory. more time in the water, very, very warm water and an awful lot of watches and warnings. let s get to them. hurricane warnings from tampa to apalachicola. notice how many counties inland are also in the hurricane warning. that s gainesville, not quite to tallahassee. if it goes further to the west, tallahassee, you have a big storm on your hands. all of a sudden, on the east coast, tropical storm warnings are now watches in effect for the east coast of florida because of the other side of the storm. so here it is right now. it s only 70 miles per hour, only. it s about to jump over the western part of cuba. when it gets into that very warm water of the gulf stream, southwest of the dry tortugas and key west, that s when it s forced to rapidly intensify, up to a 130-mile-per-hour storm. into know it says 120. in between it s 130, in between the forecast points i have on the map. you get to realize here that a
within this red cone that you are currently looking at. we are suggesting may be getting into landfall late tuesday night into early wednesday morning. talking about the 1:00 a.m., 2:00 a.m. hours there. it will be approaching earlier than that. folks will start to see conditions deteriorate. it is early enough that there is still a little bit of wiggle room about where exactly this will go. some as far down as getting close to the tampa area. others getting towards apalachicola. it will continue to clear itself out as it moves up into the gulf of mexico. this still continues to show it spinning off the coast of mexico before ultimate lifting up into the gulf of mexico. this is now 10:00 p.m. on tuesday. really beginning to see the impacts along the florida gulf coast. maybe stretching over the florida big ben. taking a lot of moisture in the
pan panama i city or apalachicola, all areas where the storm could be making landfall. again, very late tuesday into very early wednesday morning. we now have tropical storm, hurricane watches, advisories up and down the entire west coast of florida here, all areas where, remember, on the right-hand side of the storm it s going to be pushing rounds of rain and very heavy surf all along the west coast. so this is a larger area than just where that landfall would be that are going to be seeing the impacts of this storm as we make it see that move. as i said, it s been kind of stuck off the yucatan peninsula, eventually starting to make that move up north. and even though we re talking about talking about landfall around the big bend, it stretches off a huge area. this is our in the-house model before, ultimately, this is going to drag a whole lot of moisture, jon, across portions of the southeast. this could be a flooding concern for a whole lot of folks. additionally, you re talking abo