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13 January 2021 As life expectancy falls, we watch the one true miracle of the modern world slipping away from us We have experienced a tiny taste of the kind of mortality that was once inevitable.  It’s rare for historical trends to follow a straightforward narrative of progress, but life expectancy was, until recently, one of the few exceptions. In England and Wales in 1841, life expectancy was 40.2 for men and 42.2 for women; 180 years later, both figures had roughly doubled. Life expectancy was historically depressed primarily as a result of very high childhood mortality rates. In a remarkable study from 2013, the academics Anthony Volk and Jeremy Atkinson examined data from a wide range of geographic locations, cultures and time periods and estimated the levels of both infant mortality (death before the age of one) and child mortality (death before the age of 15). They found that, before the 20th century, in cultures as different from each othe

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