the lead. you have phil bredesen. lar two-term governor of the state. how is this one shaping up from where you re sitting? well, it s going to be interesting. it s almost a reverse trump effect, to some extent. if governor bredesen pulls this out. and what s on the ballot here, tennessee which is an upper south state has always prided itself that when alabama sent george wallace to the national stage, we sent howard baker he. that s kind of the dynamic here. it s a complicated state. the eastern part of the state did not want us to see it from the u.s. the middle and western parts did. you had to be able to really be almost a pro toe national figure to win in tennessee going forward. and if congresswoman blackburn wins, it will be the first time we ve had a kind of fox news
conservatives were mocking and ridiculing beto o rourke a week ago. it was actually sport on the far right. now the latest poll has beto within five. in tennessee that race is five, six points. still likely red, but it s a hell of a lot closer than it was a week or so ago. let s show what we showed earlier today, this usc l.a. times poll, jonathan lemire, that shows democrats with a huge 17-point lead. this poll was of course the poll that was an outlier throughout much of 2016 when other polls had hillary clinton up by 12 points, they still had it a race. here 57 to 40. it may be an outlier, but there is no doubt that at least over the last three or four days the trend lines have been breaking in the democrats direction in a lot of races and perhaps that s why we re starting to see a panic from the president. he knows it s slipping away. that s right.
congressman duncan hunter who is facing february charges for misuse of campaign funds has a narrow lead, 48 to 45 over democrat democratic newcomer amarch camapshar. in utah, mayor ben mcadams is ahead of republican mia camp. in kansas, 12% are still undecided in a new york times see anna college poll. north carolina s 9th district, mark harris has a narrow lead over democrat dan mccready, 45 to 44 percent. and in virginia s 7th congressional district, abigail spanberger is leading represent dave brat 46 to 45 percent. i think this is one of the most fascinating races. dave brat, the tea party darling
magnified by this. he feels as if he doesn t do this, the base might stay home. but it s a terrible bind he s in right now. he s already alienated a lot of suburban voters. the more the focus is on him and these issues, the worse he is. democrats are in a much better position now than they were two weeks ago after the cavanaugh thing when the focus was on them. in florida, two new polls have bill nelson leading over governor rick scott who is spending tens of millions of of his money. nelson is ahead 47% to 46%. in the governor s race, andrew gillum has a six-point lead over ron desantis, 49% to 43% and a