Dr. Ona Ekhomu
I realistically expect the security situation in Nigeria to worsen in 2021. Given that the national and subnational governments have not taken the time to understand the threatscape and risk spectrum, there is no serious effort to resolve the security conundrum. The authorities have continued to rely on intuitive thinking in a situation that requires critical thinking and complex problem-structuring and problem-solving methodologies. Therefore, the security situation will worsen because a wound that is not treated becomes an ulcer.
Evidence
In research design, we say that past is prologue to the future. So what is the evidence of insecurity in Nigeria? Amnesty International recently published that in the first six months of 2020, over 1,126 persons were killed mostly in the rural areas where “the authorities have left communities at the mercy of rampaging gunmen”.