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“It is not convenient to extrapolate the data from the two months of confinement to the rest of the year, but the fall is expected to be strong,” he said. The Spanish flu pandemic in 1918 had a similar impact on birth rates, though, Alberto Sanz, professor at the Faculty of Political Sciences and Sociology of the Complutense University of Madrid, said recovery from this catastrophe was “fast”. Mr Sanz said that the aftershocks of the coronavirus pandemic may be felt for longer than they were in 1918. “Apart from the epidemic crisis, we will have an economic crisis and we have already seen the effects of 2008, which has caused a sustained decline. Now we are entering a year of hiatus and we will have the lowest fertility levels ever in Spain”, he said.

La pazUnited statesIsrael generalComunidad autonoma de catalunaAlberto sanzEl paisDiego ramiroSant pauAlbert esteveCentre for demographicInstitute of economicsAutonomous university of barcelonaNational institute of statisticSociology of the complutense university madridFaculty of political sciencesResearch council