next week. in some ways it s unfortunate for president trump that that kind of a deadline happened to coincide with his 100 days. that s a must-do that will suck up some oxygen. there s not much credit for simply keeping the government open. there are other things he d rather see congress working on that is more about his own agenda. most likely we will not have a green eggs and ham moment. i want to bring in scott jechb things former white house depu director of political affairs under president george w. bush. great to have you with me. at the back half of the last hour i spoke with professor alan lichtman who predicted donald trump would win, but he s also written in the book the case for impeachment. because of his campaign and his first 3 days, feels he s more vulnerable to that type of act. do you think that s possible? do you agree? no. i totally disagree. i think the first 100 days have been okay for donald trump. i would give him a good grade on
you know, with his mother-in-law being there. but you are a part of something greater. he wasn t just a blackman. he s one of the most intelligent men who has hit that white house, black or white. for more on president obama s legacy, let s bring in presidential historian at american university, alan lichtman. what will be taken away from what will be president obama s legacy. obamacare is one of those. president obama reflecting on that today on abc saying, yeah, it is very possible, theoretically, that 20 million individuals could not have health insurance. but that may include some trump voters. do you see this being undone? i think it should be very difficult for the republicans to undo a lot of the obama legacy. just, for example, in foreign affairs. trump said he is going to tear up the iran nuclear agreement. that s not going to happen.
300-plus polls at least in the battleground states were wrong this year. the national poll, some of them were way off, but the polling average interestingly was pretty much on target. it had clinton up by 3.2%. she won the popular vote by 2.1%. you re a political scientist, and you know some of these political science models. alan lichtman s for example. some of these people who build in economic factors in the previous four or eight years, and then they look at, well, is this a party seeking a third term? some of those models looked like they were saying a republican, a normal republican, could win. were we just misled so much that because donald trump wasn t a normal republican and said some things that would normally be disqualifying, this somehow we ve said he can t win when in fact if we look at the fundamentals of this being a change election, we would have said, you know what, he has a very, very good shot. sure. i buy that. we carried 13 political signs
because they are both the negative messages that the clinton campaign is pushing in this campaign and we ve heard her talk about the last two days. this is not the positive, upbeat, let me sell hillary clinton to you message that they have on the air in these places. kasie, keep us posted. we do expect alicia machado to introduce secretary clinton there. we ll take folks back there when that happens. one week, that s it, before election day and multiple outlets predict a clinton win. new york times predicting at 88 %. even uk betting firms say it s 85% likely. one man who correctly predicted the winner over the past 30 years says trump is going to win this one. joining me now is alan lichtman. what s the biggest indicator for you that trump will win? well, it s none of the things any of these other things look
between the entertainment factor and competency in governance. a couple of candidates are actually qualify to be president. it doesn t seem that matters. who puts on the best show, the best campaign. there will come a time when the voters gets in the voting booth and says this is serious. things are serious or they re just going to throw a protest vote. things are serious enough and americans are concerned enough about their future that they will come to a sort of reality moment in the voting booth where they say, who do i trust with the levers of government not who do i think has the best one liner of the debate? we re in silly season still. people haven t been in that private setting where they have to pull a lever, make a choice. i think we ll see this unfold in a dramatically different way once voting actually starts. alan lichtman, we have to jump. thank you for joining us from american university. sure, any time. appreciate it. justice department is now